State Cup · Mar 17, 2026 17:00

Hapoel Beer Sheva
PWR 66

Bnei Yehuda
PWR 48

Hapoel Beer Sheva
PWR 66
4-1
predicted

Bnei Yehuda
PWR 48
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Hapoel Beer Sheva Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (15%)1-0 (15%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (7%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
30%
Under 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
No 38%
Over 3.5
12%
Team Comparison
67Attack44
56Defense61
Goals/G
1.91.3
Conc/G
1.31.1
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Hapoel Beer Sh…
DDWWW
STABLE
Bnei Yehuda
WDDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy73%
FORM_MOMENTUMPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Hapoel Beer Sh…vs
0.93
Bnei YehudaGoal Probability
Hapoel Beer…
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Bnei Yehuda
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (19%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (12%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 2.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Hapoel Beer…+8
Gap#11
Bnei Yehuda
WR 75% 27 pts
WR 38% 12 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Beer S… | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 27 |
| Bnei Yehuda | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 12 |
Hapoel Beer Sh…
16.0%
| Feb 26 | Hapoel … v Tira | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Hapoel … v Hapoel … | 1-1 |
| Feb 19 | Hapoel … v Hapoel … | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Hapoel … v Ashdod | 1-2 |
| Feb 12 | Hapoel … v Hapoel … | 2-3 |
| Feb 09 | Hapoel … v Beitar … | 2-1 |
| Feb 06 | Hapoel … v Hapoel … | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 0-3 |
| Jan 31 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 0-2 |
Bnei Yehuda
16.0%
| Feb 27 | Bnei Ye… v Ironi M… | 1-0 |
| Feb 23 | Bnei Ye… v Maccabi… | 1-1 |
| Feb 16 | Bnei Ye… v Maccabi… | 4-4 |
| Feb 09 | Bnei Ye… v Hapoel … | 2-1 |
| Feb 04 | Bnei Ye… v Beitar … | 1-2 |
| Jan 30 | Bnei Ye… v Hapoel … | 0-1 |
| Jan 23 | Bnei Ye… v Kafr Qa… | 1-0 |
| Jan 16 | Bnei Ye… v Hapoel … | 1-1 |
| Jan 13 | Bnei Ye… v Maccabi… | 0-0 |
| Jan 09 | Bnei Ye… v Hapoel … | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Mar 20, 2021 | Hapoel Beer S… | 2-0 | Bnei Yehuda |
| Dec 27, 2020 | Bnei Yehuda | 0-2 | Hapoel Beer S… |
| Jun 10, 2020 | Hapoel Beer S… | 2-2 | Bnei Yehuda |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Hapoel Beer Sheva in strong form (3W in last 5)
Bnei Yehuda in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.