Premier League · Mar 16, 2026 12:00
FK Tobol Kostanay
PWR 35
Zhetysu
PWR 35
FK Tobol Kostanay
PWR 35
VS
Zhetysu
PWR 35
63%
21%
16%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 67% home + 22% draw = 89% combined
92%
accuracy
1.18x
Final Verdict
Prediction
FK Tobol Kostanay Win
Score
?
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (21%)3-0 (18%)1-0 (17%)0-0 (7%)2-1 (4%)3-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
89%
Home/Draw
1.18x
DC X2
Away/Draw
3.15x
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS
No
No 17%
Over 3.5
45%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FK Tobol Kosta…
LDWWW
STABLE
Zhetysu
LLLDL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (27.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.50
FK Tobol Kosta…vs
0.20
ZhetysuGoal Probability
FK Tobol Ko…
0
8%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Zhetysu
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (15%)2-0 (15%)4-0 (12%)1-0 (10%)5-0 (7%)3-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 4.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
FK Tobol Ko…+1
Gap#16
Zhetysu
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
FK Tobol Kosta…
14.0%
| Mar 07 | FK Tobo… v Aktobe | 4-1 |
| Oct 26 | FK Tobo… v Ulytau | 2-2 |
| Oct 19 | FK Tobo… v Zhetysu | 1-2 |
| Oct 04 | FK Tobo… v Ordabasy | 0-2 |
| Sep 28 | FK Tobo… v Kaisar | 1-0 |
| Sep 13 | FK Tobo… v Atyrau | 1-0 |
| Jun 21 | FK Tobo… v Zhetysu | 2-1 |
| Apr 13 | FK Tobo… v Zhetysu | 1-0 |
| Aug 18 | FK Tobo… v Zhetysu | 0-3 |
| May 04 | FK Tobo… v Zhetysu | 1-0 |
Zhetysu
2.0%
| Mar 08 | Zhetysu v FC Asta… | 4-1 |
| Feb 01 | Zhetysu v Bihor O… | 1-2 |
| Oct 19 | Zhetysu v FK Tobo… | 1-2 |
| Oct 18 | Zhetysu v Atyrau | 1-1 |
| Oct 05 | Zhetysu v Kairat … | 5-0 |
| Sep 16 | Zhetysu v Kaisar | 1-1 |
| Jun 21 | Zhetysu v FK Tobo… | 2-1 |
| Apr 13 | Zhetysu v FK Tobo… | 1-0 |
| Aug 18 | Zhetysu v FK Tobo… | 0-3 |
| May 04 | Zhetysu v FK Tobo… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Oct 19, 2025 | Zhetysu | 1-2 | FK Tobol Kost… |
| Jun 21, 2025 | FK Tobol Kost… | 2-1 | Zhetysu |
| Apr 13, 2025 | FK Tobol Kost… | 1-0 | Zhetysu |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Zhetysu | 0-3 | FK Tobol Kost… |
| May 04, 2024 | FK Tobol Kost… | 1-0 | Zhetysu |
| Sep 24, 2023 | FK Tobol Kost… | 1-2 | Zhetysu |
| Apr 02, 2023 | Zhetysu | 1-1 | FK Tobol Kost… |
| Jun 19, 2021 | FK Tobol Kost… | 2-1 | Zhetysu |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Zhetysu | 0-2 | FK Tobol Kost… |
| Oct 02, 2020 | FK Tobol Kost… | 2-0 | Zhetysu |
Decision Breakdown
ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
52%
Market
68%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FK Tobol Kostanay in strong form (3W in last 5)
Zhetysu struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.