Premier League · Mar 16, 2026 14:00
Kairat Almaty
PWR 35
Aktobe
PWR 35
Kairat Almaty
PWR 35
VS
Aktobe
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Kairat Almaty Win
Score
?
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (15%)2-0 (13%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (5%)1-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.43x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.94x
Over 2.5
60%
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS
No
No 33%
Over 3.5
57%
57%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Kairat Almaty
WLLLL
STABLE
Aktobe
WLLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (27.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.40
Kairat Almatyvs
0.41
AktobeGoal Probability
Kairat Alma…
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Aktobe
0
66%
1
27%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)3-0 (8%)4-1 (6%)4-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 4.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 5.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Kairat Alma…-3
Gap#1
Aktobe
WR 0% 3 pts
WR 0% 3 pts
Kairat Almaty
4.0%
| Mar 07 | Kairat … v Altay | 0-1 |
| Jan 28 | Kairat … v Arsenal | 3-2 |
| Jan 20 | Kairat … v Club Br… | 1-4 |
| Dec 09 | Kairat … v Olympia… | 0-1 |
| Nov 26 | Kairat … v FC Cope… | 3-2 |
| Nov 05 | Kairat … v Inter | 2-1 |
| Oct 26 | Kairat … v FC Asta… | 1-1 |
| Oct 21 | Kairat … v Pafos FC | 0-0 |
| Oct 17 | Kairat … v Kyzyl-Z… | 0-1 |
| Oct 05 | Kairat … v Zhetysu | 5-0 |
Aktobe
6.0%
| Mar 07 | Aktobe v FK Tobo… | 4-1 |
| Feb 21 | Aktobe v PFC Soc… | 3-0 |
| Feb 08 | Aktobe v Rotor V… | 2-0 |
| Jan 18 | Aktobe v BanÃk O… | 0-3 |
| Oct 26 | Aktobe v Ordabasy | 2-2 |
| Oct 19 | Aktobe v FC Asta… | 5-3 |
| Sep 27 | Aktobe v Kyzyl-Z… | 1-0 |
| Sep 20 | Aktobe v Ulytau | 2-1 |
| Sep 14 | Aktobe v Kairat … | 1-0 |
| Jul 31 | Aktobe v Slavia … | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 14, 2025 | Kairat Almaty | 1-0 | Aktobe |
| May 30, 2025 | Aktobe | 1-2 | Kairat Almaty |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Kairat Almaty | 2-0 | Aktobe |
| Oct 04, 2024 | Aktobe | 2-1 | Kairat Almaty |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Kairat Almaty | 1-3 | Aktobe |
| Aug 06, 2023 | Aktobe | 4-2 | Kairat Almaty |
| May 14, 2023 | Kairat Almaty | 2-1 | Aktobe |
| Nov 06, 2022 | Aktobe | 4-1 | Kairat Almaty |
| Mar 06, 2022 | Kairat Almaty | 2-0 | Aktobe |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Aktobe | 1-2 | Kairat Almaty |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
44%
Market
51%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Kairat Almaty struggling (4L in last 5)
Aktobe struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.