Paraibano · Mar 21, 2026 19:45
Sousa
PWR 35
Botafogo PB
PWR 0
Sousa
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Botafogo PB
PWR 0
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Sousa to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (20%)2-0 (15%)0-0 (13%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
32%
Under 2.5
68%
68%
BTTS
No
No 32%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense0
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sousa
WLWLW
STABLE
Botafogo PB
LWLDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Limited data available (Tier 3)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Sousavs
0.53
Botafogo PBGoal Probability
Sousa
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Botafogo PB
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (14%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (14%)0-1 (13%)2-0 (7%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 2.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Sousa-2
Gap#1
Botafogo PB
WR 80% 15 pts
WR 50% 16 pts
Sousa
12.0%
| Mar 15 | Sousa v Botafog… | 1-2 |
| Mar 12 | Sousa v CRB | 0-2 |
| Mar 08 | Sousa v Campine… | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Sousa v Campine… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Sousa v Pombal … | 2-0 |
| Feb 18 | Sousa v Campine… | 1-1 |
| Feb 12 | Sousa v Naciona… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Sousa v Atlétic… | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Sousa v EC de P… | 0-1 |
| Jan 28 | Sousa v Treze | 2-1 |
Botafogo PB
10.0%
| Mar 15 | Botafog… v Sousa | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Botafog… v Serra B… | 3-1 |
| Mar 01 | Botafog… v Serra B… | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Botafog… v Serra B… | 1-1 |
| Feb 19 | Botafog… v Treze | 2-0 |
| Feb 11 | Botafog… v Atlétic… | 0-2 |
| Feb 05 | Botafog… v Naciona… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Botafog… v Campine… | 4-1 |
| Jan 29 | Botafog… v Pombal … | 4-0 |
| Jan 24 | Botafog… v Sousa | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Mar 15, 2026 | Botafogo PB | 1-2 | Sousa |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Botafogo PB | 1-1 | Sousa |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Sousa in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.