Premier League · Mar 16, 2026 20:30
Tivoli Gardens
PWR 35
Spanish Town Police
PWR 35
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT
Tivoli Gardens
PWR 35
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-3 (8%)1-2 (7%)0-3 (6%)0-2 (6%)2-3 (5%)2-2 (5%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
71%
71%
Under 2.5
29%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 69%
Over 3.5
16%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Spanish Town P…
LWWLW
STABLE
Tivoli Gardens
WDLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 2% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Spanish Town P…vs
3.23
Tivoli GardensGoal Probability
Spanish Tow…
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Tivoli Gard…
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (16%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (12%)0-2 (11%)1-0 (10%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 2.5 | 35% | 65% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Spanish Tow…-6
Gap#8
Tivoli Gard…
WR 25% 18 pts
WR 23% 33 pts
Spanish Town P…
12.0%
| Mar 03 | Spanish… v Waterho… | 3-0 |
| Feb 24 | Spanish… v Arnett … | 1-2 |
| Feb 15 | Spanish… v Harbour… | 1-0 |
| Feb 09 | Spanish… v Cavalie… | 5-0 |
| Feb 05 | Spanish… v Dunbeho… | 0-2 |
| Feb 01 | Spanish… v Racing … | 1-3 |
| Jan 25 | Spanish… v Molynes… | 1-1 |
| Jan 21 | Spanish… v Montego… | 0-5 |
| Jan 18 | Spanish… v Chapelt… | 0-1 |
| Jan 15 | Spanish… v Portmor… | 4-0 |
Tivoli Gardens
8.0%
| Mar 08 | Tivoli … v Dunbeho… | 2-1 |
| Mar 04 | Tivoli … v Mount P… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Tivoli … v Treasur… | 4-2 |
| Feb 16 | Tivoli … v Waterho… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Tivoli … v Arnett … | 0-2 |
| Feb 01 | Tivoli … v Harbour… | 2-2 |
| Jan 28 | Tivoli … v Treasur… | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Tivoli … v Cavalie… | 1-2 |
| Jan 22 | Tivoli … v Racing … | 0-0 |
| Jan 19 | Tivoli … v Molynes… | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jan 12, 2026 | Spanish Town … | 0-1 | Tivoli Gardens |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
38%
Market
50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Spanish Town Police in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.