Primera División - Apertura · Mar 22, 2026 19:00
Progreso
PWR 35
Boston River
PWR 35
Progreso
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Boston River
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Progreso Win
Score
1-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (12%)0-2 (11%)1-1 (11%)1-2 (10%)0-0 (7%)0-3 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS
No 49%
Over 3.5
6%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Progreso
WDDLL
STABLE
Boston River
LLWDD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Progresovs
1.78
Boston RiverGoal Probability
Progreso
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Boston River
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (23%)0-1 (18%)1-0 (16%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (7%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 78% | 23% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 2.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
Progreso+2
Gap#15
Boston River
WR 0% 5 pts
WR 0% 2 pts
Progreso
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Progreso v Cerro | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Progreso v Albion … | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Progreso v Danubio | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Progreso v Club Na… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Progreso v Deporti… | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Progreso v Central… | 0-3 |
| Jan 29 | Progreso v Boston … | 1-2 |
| Jan 22 | Progreso v Club Na… | 1-1 |
| Jan 19 | Progreso v Juventus | 0-1 |
| Jan 12 | Progreso v Defenso… | 0-0 |
Boston River
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Boston … v Racing … | 0-1 |
| Mar 10 | Boston … v Liverpo… | 0-1 |
| Mar 05 | Boston … v Racing … | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | Boston … v Cerro | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Boston … v Albion … | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | Boston … v Danubio | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | Boston … v Club Na… | 1-2 |
| Jan 29 | Boston … v Progreso | 1-2 |
| Jan 23 | Boston … v Peñarol… | 2-2 |
| Jan 18 | Boston … v Albion … | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Jan 29, 2026 | Progreso | 1-2 | Boston River |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Boston River | 2-1 | Progreso |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
37%
Standings
53%
Market
50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.