UEFA Europa Conference League · Mar 19, 2026 17:45
AEK Larnaca
PWR 35
Crystal Palace
PWR 33
AEK Larnaca
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Crystal Palace
PWR 33
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (15%)3-0 (12%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)1-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.12x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.35x
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
No 39%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
0Attack31
100Defense64
Goals/G
0.01.0
Conc/G
0.01.2
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
AEK Larnaca
WDWDL
STABLE
Crystal Palace
DDWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Conference League
Expected Goals (xG)
2.56
AEK Larnacavs
0.55
Crystal PalaceGoal Probability
AEK Larnaca
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Crystal Pal…
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (20%)0-0 (15%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 2.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 88% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
AEK Larnaca+2
Gap#10
Crystal Pal…
WR 67% 12 pts
WR 67% 10 pts
AEK Larnaca
12.0%
| Mar 16 | AEK Lar… v Ethniko… | 0-2 |
| Mar 12 | AEK Lar… v Crystal… | 0-0 |
| Mar 06 | AEK Lar… v Akritas | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | AEK Lar… v Olympia… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | AEK Lar… v Omonia … | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | AEK Lar… v Apollon… | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | AEK Lar… v Apoel N… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | AEK Lar… v Enosis | 5-0 |
| Jan 25 | AEK Lar… v Pafos FC | 1-2 |
| Jan 18 | AEK Lar… v Digenis… | 2-1 |
Crystal Palace
12.0%
| Mar 15 | Crystal… v Leeds | 0-0 |
| Mar 12 | Crystal… v AEK Lar… | 0-0 |
| Mar 05 | Crystal… v Tottenh… | 1-3 |
| Mar 01 | Crystal… v Manches… | 2-1 |
| Feb 26 | Crystal… v Zrinjski | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Crystal… v Wolves | 1-0 |
| Feb 19 | Crystal… v Zrinjski | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | Crystal… v Burnley | 2-3 |
| Feb 08 | Crystal… v Brighton | 0-1 |
| Feb 01 | Crystal… v Notting… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Mar 12, 2026 | Crystal Palace | 0-0 | AEK Larnaca |
| Oct 23, 2025 | Crystal Palace | 0-1 | AEK Larnaca |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
53%
Market
35%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.