UEFA Europa Conference League · Mar 19, 2026 17:45
AEK Athens FC
PWR 35
Celje
PWR 35
AEK Athens FC
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Celje
PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 71% home + 19% draw = 89% combined
95%
accuracy
1.17x
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: AEK Athens FC to win (84% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
84%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (13%)2-0 (9%)1-0 (4%)3-1 (3%)2-1 (2%)1-1 (1%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
90%
Home/Draw
1.17x
DC X2
Away/Draw
3.61x
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
No
No 21%
Over 3.5
72%
72%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
AEK Athens FC
DWWDW
STABLE
Celje
WLLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Conference League
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
AEK Athens FCvs
0.24
CeljeGoal Probability
AEK Athens …
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Celje
0
79%
1
19%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (8%)4-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)4-1 (7%)5-0 (7%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 96% | 5% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 5.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 6.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
AEK Athens …+10
Gap#13
Celje
WR 67% 13 pts
WR 33% 10 pts
AEK Athens FC
16.0%
| Mar 15 | AEK Ath… v Atromit… | 2-2 |
| Mar 12 | AEK Ath… v Celje | 0-4 |
| Mar 07 | AEK Ath… v Larisa | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | AEK Ath… v Volos N… | 2-2 |
| Feb 22 | AEK Ath… v Levadia… | 4-0 |
| Feb 15 | AEK Ath… v PAOK | 0-0 |
| Feb 08 | AEK Ath… v Panserr… | 0-4 |
| Feb 01 | AEK Ath… v Olympia… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | AEK Ath… v Asteras… | 0-1 |
| Jan 18 | AEK Ath… v Panathi… | 4-0 |
Celje
8.0%
| Mar 15 | Celje v Koper | 0-1 |
| Mar 12 | Celje v AEK Ath… | 0-4 |
| Mar 05 | Celje v Aluminij | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Celje v Bravo | 1-0 |
| Feb 26 | Celje v Drita | 3-2 |
| Feb 19 | Celje v Drita | 2-3 |
| Feb 14 | Celje v Mura | 5-1 |
| Feb 08 | Celje v Olimpij… | 3-1 |
| Feb 04 | Celje v Radomlje | 3-1 |
| Feb 01 | Celje v Maribor | 3-3 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Mar 12, 2026 | Celje | 0-4 | AEK Athens FC |
| Oct 02, 2025 | Celje | 3-1 | AEK Athens FC |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
85%
Market
93%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
AEK Athens FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
Celje struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.