Segunda DivisiĂłn · Mar 22, 2026 21:00
Deportes La Serena
PWR 32
Provincial Ovalle
PWR 48
Deportes La Serena
PWR 32
0-1
predicted
Provincial Ovalle
PWR 48
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Provincial Ovalle to win (55% confidence)
Score
0-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (21%)2-0 (20%)3-0 (13%)0-0 (11%)1-1 (6%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
64%
BTTS
No
No 21%
Over 3.5
52%
Team Comparison
33Attack49
35Defense56
Goals/G
0.91.4
Conc/G
1.91.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Deportes La Se…
DWWDL
STABLE
Provincial Ova…
DDDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityH2H: 2/6 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Deportes La Se…vs
0.29
Provincial Ova…Goal Probability
Deportes La…
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Provincial …
0
75%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)3-1 (6%)1-2 (6%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 4.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Deportes La…-10
Gap#1
Provincial …
WR 27% 28 pts
WR 39% 96 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes La S… | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 28 | 56 | 28 |
| Provincial Ov… | 67 | 26 | 18 | 23 | 94 | 84 | 96 |
Deportes La Se…
12.0%
| Mar 15 | Deporte… v Ñublense | 2-2 |
| Mar 06 | Deporte… v Union L… | 3-0 |
| Feb 27 | Deporte… v Cobresal | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Deporte… v Univers… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Deporte… v Coquimb… | 0-1 |
| Feb 07 | Deporte… v O'Higgi… | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Deporte… v Univers… | 2-2 |
| Jan 24 | Deporte… v Cobresal | 2-3 |
| Jan 21 | Deporte… v Coquimb… | 3-2 |
| Dec 10 | Deporte… v Huachip… | 1-1 |
Provincial Ova…
6.0%
| Nov 29 | Provinc… v Municip… | 1-1 |
| Nov 22 | Provinc… v Santiag… | 3-3 |
| Nov 21 | Provinc… v Municip… | 1-1 |
| Nov 08 | Provinc… v Deporte… | 2-0 |
| Nov 08 | Provinc… v Real Sa… | 1-0 |
| Oct 26 | Provinc… v Deporte… | 6-1 |
| Oct 13 | Provinc… v Real Sa… | 2-1 |
| Oct 11 | Provinc… v Linares… | 1-0 |
| Oct 05 | Provinc… v Deporte… | 2-4 |
| Oct 04 | Provinc… v San Ant… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Oct 26, 2025 | Provincial Ov… | 6-1 | Deportes La S… |
| Jul 18, 2025 | Provincial Ov… | 2-1 | Deportes La S… |
| May 24, 2025 | Deportes La S… | 1-2 | Provincial Ov… |
| Mar 03, 2025 | Deportes La S… | 1-1 | Provincial Ov… |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Provincial Ov… | 2-1 | Deportes La S… |
| Oct 05, 2024 | Provincial Ov… | 1-1 | Deportes La S… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.