Segunda División · Mar 22, 2026 21:00
Trasandino
PWR 44
Concón National
PWR 50
PWR 50
2-1
predicted
Trasandino
PWR 44
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Concón National to win (58% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
58%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
Yes 56%
Over 3.5
66%
66%
Team Comparison
58Attack46
50Defense45
Goals/G
1.71.3
Conc/G
1.41.6
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Concón National
WWLLW
STABLE
Trasandino
LLLWL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.50
Concón Nationalvs
0.93
TrasandinoGoal Probability
Concón Nati…
0
8%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Trasandino
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (7%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)3-2 (6%)1-1 (5%)1-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 5.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Concón Nati…+1
Gap#7
Trasandino
WR 41% 43 pts
WR 41% 42 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concón Nation… | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 53 | 46 | 43 |
| Trasandino | 32 | 13 | 3 | 16 | 42 | 50 | 42 |
Concón National
12.0%
| Nov 22 | Concón … v Deporte… | 6-0 |
| Nov 10 | Concón … v San Ant… | 1-3 |
| Oct 25 | Concón … v Municip… | 0-2 |
| Oct 12 | Concón … v Deporte… | 4-0 |
| Sep 14 | Concón … v Provinc… | 0-2 |
| Sep 07 | Concón … v Santiag… | 4-2 |
| Aug 23 | Concón … v Provinc… | 2-2 |
| Aug 16 | Concón … v Trasand… | 0-1 |
| Aug 02 | Concón … v Linares… | 2-0 |
| Jul 27 | Concón … v Deporte… | 0-1 |
Trasandino
4.0%
| Nov 23 | Trasand… v General… | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Trasand… v Deporte… | 2-4 |
| Oct 25 | Trasand… v Linares… | 0-2 |
| Oct 12 | Trasand… v Deporte… | 2-3 |
| Oct 04 | Trasand… v Real Sa… | 1-2 |
| Sep 12 | Trasand… v San Ant… | 2-5 |
| Aug 23 | Trasand… v Deporte… | 5-0 |
| Aug 16 | Trasand… v Concón … | 0-1 |
| Aug 03 | Trasand… v Provinc… | 3-1 |
| Jul 27 | Trasand… v Municip… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Aug 16, 2025 | Concón Nation… | 0-1 | Trasandino |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Trasandino | 4-0 | Concón Nation… |
| Sep 08, 2024 | Trasandino | 0-2 | Concón Nation… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Concón National in strong form (3W in last 5)
Trasandino struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.