Premier Division · Mar 08, 2026 20:15
Aston Villa
PWR 35
PWR 35
9 - 1
FT
John Hughes
PWR 35
PWR 35
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Home Win
1X2 · ELITE tier, 82% conf, draw risk 19%
86%
accuracy
1.5x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Aston Villa Win
Score
6-1
Confidence
82%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (16%)1-0 (14%)3-0 (13%)2-1 (8%)1-1 (6%)3-1 (6%)
CORRECT 9-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
BTTS
No
No 34%
Over 3.5
73%
73%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Aston Villa
WLLWW
STABLE
John Hughes
LLLLW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk19%
Accuracy88%
FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_LEAKINGFORM_DOMINANTPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)âś“ Passed (5 independent rules, 82% confidence)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41
Aston Villavs
0.47
John HughesGoal Probability
Aston Villa
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
John Hughes
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (7%)4-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)4-1 (7%)5-0 (6%)5-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 5.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 6.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Aston Villa+7
Gap#10
John Hughes
WR 78% 30 pts
WR 13% 10 pts
Aston Villa
12.0%
| Feb 16 | Aston V… v Garden … | 3-1 |
| Feb 02 | Aston V… v Pigotts… | 2-0 |
| Jan 24 | Aston V… v Potters… | 1-5 |
| Jan 19 | Aston V… v Garden … | 3-4 |
| Jan 10 | Aston V… v Ottos R… | 2-0 |
| Jan 04 | Aston V… v Attacki… | 4-3 |
| Dec 27 | Aston V… v Old Road | 3-1 |
| Dec 22 | Aston V… v All Sai… | 1-3 |
| Dec 07 | Aston V… v Green C… | 1-5 |
| Nov 29 | Aston V… v Jenning… | 0-4 |
John Hughes
4.0%
| Feb 14 | John Hu… v Grenades | 0-4 |
| Feb 07 | John Hu… v Jenning… | 0-2 |
| Jan 31 | John Hu… v Garden … | 1-2 |
| Jan 24 | John Hu… v Pigotts… | 1-0 |
| Jan 10 | John Hu… v Potters… | 2-1 |
| Jan 05 | John Hu… v Ottos R… | 1-0 |
| Dec 28 | John Hu… v Attacki… | 0-0 |
| Dec 21 | John Hu… v Old Road | 0-4 |
| Dec 08 | John Hu… v All Sai… | 1-5 |
| Nov 30 | John Hu… v Green C… | 2-1 |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
93%
Standings
74%
Market
50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Aston Villa in strong form (3W in last 5)
John Hughes struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.