Segunda División · Mar 17, 2026 21:00
Tacuarembó
PWR 35
La Luz
PWR 35
Tacuarembó
PWR 35
VS
La Luz
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Tacuarembó Win
Score
?
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (13%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.64x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.51x
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%
67%
BTTS
No 41%
Over 3.5
16%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Tacuarembó
DDDWL
STABLE
La Luz
DDDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)WR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateH2H: 2/6 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (33.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Tacuarembóvs
0.95
La LuzGoal Probability
Tacuarembó
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
La Luz
0
39%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (14%)0-0 (12%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (7%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 2.5 | 35% | 65% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Tacuarembó+5
Gap#9
La Luz
WR 0% 51 pts
WR 0% 31 pts
Tacuarembó
10.0%
| Nov 15 | Tacuare… v Atenas | 2-2 |
| Nov 09 | Tacuare… v Atenas | 1-1 |
| Oct 25 | Tacuare… v Uruguay… | 0-0 |
| Oct 19 | Tacuare… v Albion … | 2-0 |
| Oct 10 | Tacuare… v Fenix | 4-2 |
| Oct 05 | Tacuare… v Rampla … | 3-1 |
| Sep 28 | Tacuare… v Atenas | 1-0 |
| Sep 24 | Tacuare… v Peñarol… | 1-2 |
| Sep 20 | Tacuare… v Central… | 0-0 |
| Sep 14 | Tacuare… v Artigas | 1-1 |
La Luz
14.0%
| Oct 26 | La Luz v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Oct 18 | La Luz v Oriental | 1-1 |
| Oct 11 | La Luz v Uruguay… | 0-0 |
| Oct 04 | La Luz v Albion … | 1-0 |
| Sep 27 | La Luz v Fenix | 0-2 |
| Sep 19 | La Luz v Rampla … | 1-1 |
| Sep 13 | La Luz v Atenas | 2-3 |
| Sep 05 | La Luz v Central… | 0-4 |
| Aug 30 | La Luz v Tacuare… | 1-1 |
| Aug 26 | La Luz v Rentist… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Aug 30, 2025 | Tacuarembó | 1-1 | La Luz |
| Jun 07, 2025 | La Luz | 1-2 | Tacuarembó |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Tacuarembó | 1-1 | La Luz |
| Sep 29, 2024 | La Luz | 2-0 | Tacuarembó |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Tacuarembó | 0-1 | La Luz |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Tacuarembó | 1-0 | La Luz |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
58%
Market
36%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.