Premier League · Mar 16, 2026 15:00
Shirak
PWR 35
Artsakh
PWR 35
Shirak
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Artsakh
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (14%)3-0 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)1-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS
No 41%
Over 3.5
30%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Shirak
LWLWD
STABLE
Artsakh
DWWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 5% = 35.1% draw rateAway draws 50% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 64% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.69
Shirakvs
0.58
ArtsakhGoal Probability
Shirak
0
7%
1
18%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
Artsakh
0
56%
1
33%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)1-2 (7%)2-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Shirak-4
Gap#5
Artsakh
WR 29% 10 pts
WR 33% 26 pts
Shirak
10.0%
| Mar 09 | Shirak v Pyunik … | 3-0 |
| Mar 04 | Shirak v Ararat-… | 1-0 |
| Dec 01 | Shirak v Ararat-… | 4-1 |
| Nov 22 | Shirak v Gandzas… | 1-0 |
| Nov 09 | Shirak v Ararat | 0-0 |
| Nov 02 | Shirak v Van | 2-3 |
| Oct 28 | Shirak v Araks A… | 0-4 |
| Oct 24 | Shirak v Banants… | 5-0 |
| Oct 17 | Shirak v Alashke… | 1-2 |
| Oct 03 | Shirak v Alashke… | 1-1 |
Artsakh
14.0%
| Mar 12 | Artsakh v Ararat-… | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Artsakh v BKMA | 0-2 |
| Mar 05 | Artsakh v Pyunik … | 1-2 |
| Feb 26 | Artsakh v AZ Alkm… | 4-0 |
| Feb 19 | Artsakh v AZ Alkm… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Artsakh v FC Asta… | 0-0 |
| Feb 04 | Artsakh v FC Porto | 3-0 |
| Dec 18 | Artsakh v Dynamo … | 2-0 |
| Dec 11 | Artsakh v Legia W… | 2-1 |
| Dec 06 | Artsakh v BKMA | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Aug 03, 2025 | Artsakh | 4-0 | Shirak |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Shirak | 1-2 | Artsakh |
| Mar 02, 2025 | Artsakh | 4-0 | Shirak |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Shirak | 0-5 | Artsakh |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Shirak | 1-0 | Artsakh |
| Feb 26, 2024 | Artsakh | 1-0 | Shirak |
| Oct 26, 2023 | Shirak | 0-2 | Artsakh |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Artsakh | 4-0 | Shirak |
| May 31, 2023 | Shirak | 0-2 | Artsakh |
| Apr 11, 2023 | Artsakh | 3-3 | Shirak |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
42%
Market
50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Artsakh in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.