Virsliga · Mar 20, 2026 17:00
FK Liepaja
PWR 35
Ogre United
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
FK Liepaja
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (22%)1-0 (21%)3-0 (15%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (5%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
62%
BTTS
No
No 18%
Over 3.5
23%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ogre United
DLLLW
STABLE
FK Liepaja
LWWDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 100% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateCombined DR 125% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Ogre Unitedvs
0.23
FK LiepajaGoal Probability
Ogre United
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
FK Liepaja
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (9%)0-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Ogre United-4
Gap#5
FK Liepaja
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 3 pts
Ogre United
6.0%
| Mar 15 | Ogre Un… v Tukums | 1-1 |
| Mar 06 | Ogre Un… v Rīgas FS | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Ogre Un… v FK Zalg… | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | Ogre Un… v FC Tall… | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Ogre Un… v Mārupe | 0-1 |
| Nov 01 | Ogre Un… v Skanste | 3-0 |
| Oct 25 | Ogre Un… v Riga FC… | 2-1 |
| Oct 18 | Ogre Un… v JDFS Al… | 1-1 |
| Oct 04 | Ogre Un… v Rīgas F… | 0-0 |
| Sep 27 | Ogre Un… v Smiltene | 1-0 |
FK Liepaja
10.0%
| Mar 13 | FK Liep… v Rīgas FS | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | FK Liep… v Riga FC | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | FK Liep… v FS Jelg… | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | FK Liep… v Hirnyk | 1-1 |
| Jan 28 | FK Liep… v Kalju N… | 3-5 |
| Nov 09 | FK Liep… v Super N… | 3-0 |
| Nov 02 | FK Liep… v BFC Dau… | 1-2 |
| Oct 25 | FK Liep… v FS Jelg… | 2-2 |
| Oct 20 | FK Liep… v Auda | 1-2 |
| Oct 03 | FK Liep… v Riga FC | 3-0 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
91%
Standings
42%
Market
50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ogre United struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.