Virsliga · Mar 21, 2026 16:00
FS Jelgava
PWR 35
Grobiņa
PWR 35
FS Jelgava
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Grobiņa
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: FS Jelgava to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (24%)2-0 (19%)0-0 (15%)3-0 (10%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
29%
Under 2.5
71%
71%
BTTS
No
No 20%
Over 3.5
20%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FS Jelgava
DWLWD
STABLE
Grobiņa
LWWDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
FS Jelgavavs
0.29
GrobiņaGoal Probability
FS Jelgava
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
5%
Grobiņa
0
75%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (15%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 3.5 | 21% | 80% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
FS Jelgava+3
Gap#6
Grobiņa
WR 100% 4 pts
WR 100% 3 pts
FS Jelgava
12.0%
| Mar 15 | FS Jelg… v Super N… | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | FS Jelg… v Tukums | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | FS Jelg… v FK Liep… | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | FS Jelg… v Nõmme U… | 0-1 |
| Nov 09 | FS Jelg… v Tukums | 1-1 |
| Nov 02 | FS Jelg… v Metta /… | 2-2 |
| Oct 25 | FS Jelg… v FK Liep… | 2-2 |
| Oct 18 | FS Jelg… v BFC Dau… | 0-0 |
| Oct 04 | FS Jelg… v Super N… | 1-1 |
| Sep 27 | FS Jelg… v Auda | 1-1 |
Grobiņa
12.0%
| Mar 14 | Grobiņa v Auda | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Grobiņa v BFC Dau… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Grobiņa v Banga | 5-3 |
| Jan 17 | Grobiņa v Banga | 1-1 |
| Nov 23 | Grobiņa v JDFS Al… | 0-0 |
| Nov 20 | Grobiņa v JDFS Al… | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Grobiņa v Auda | 2-2 |
| Nov 02 | Grobiņa v Riga FC | 1-1 |
| Oct 26 | Grobiņa v Rīgas FS | 5-0 |
| Oct 18 | Grobiņa v Super N… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Aug 29, 2025 | Grobiņa | 3-2 | FS Jelgava |
| Jun 22, 2025 | FS Jelgava | 0-1 | Grobiņa |
| Apr 29, 2025 | FS Jelgava | 1-0 | Grobiņa |
| Mar 06, 2025 | Grobiņa | 1-1 | FS Jelgava |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
55%
Market
50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.