Premier League · Mar 22, 2026 15:00
Neftchi
PWR 35
Toktogul
PWR 35
PWR 35
4-1
predicted
Neftchi
PWR 35
58%
22%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Toktogul Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (15%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (9%)3-0 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS
No 41%
Over 3.5
61%
61%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Toktogul
LW
STABLE
Neftchi
LLLLD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Points within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Toktogulvs
0.69
NeftchiGoal Probability
Toktogul
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Neftchi
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)2-0 (7%)4-1 (6%)4-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 93% | 8% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 80% | 21% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 4.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 5.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Toktogul+6
Gap#16
Neftchi
WR 50% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
Toktogul
10.0%
| Mar 14 | Toktogul v Bars | 1-2 |
| Mar 06 | Toktogul v Ilbirs | 3-2 |
Neftchi
2.0%
| Mar 13 | Neftchi v Ilbirs | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | Neftchi v Alay | 0-2 |
| Mar 01 | Neftchi v Ozgon | 1-2 |
| Nov 09 | Neftchi v Alay | 4-0 |
| Nov 04 | Neftchi v Alay | 1-1 |
| Oct 27 | Neftchi v Asiagoal | 2-1 |
| Oct 12 | Neftchi v OshMU A… | 1-0 |
| Oct 05 | Neftchi v Talant | 1-0 |
| Sep 27 | Neftchi v Bishkek… | 0-1 |
| Sep 21 | Neftchi v Ozgon | 3-2 |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
72%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Neftchi struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.