First League · Mar 23, 2026 16:00
Rodina Moskva
PWR 35
Chayka
PWR 35
Rodina Moskva
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Chayka
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Rodina Moskva Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (19%)1-0 (17%)0-1 (15%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (7%)0-2 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
23%
Under 2.5
77%
77%
BTTS
No
No 31%
Over 3.5
10%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Rodina Moskva
DWWLW
STABLE
Chayka
DWLDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy73%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 42% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Rodina Moskvavs
0.78
ChaykaGoal Probability
Rodina Mosk…
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Chayka
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (19%)0-0 (17%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 2.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Rodina Mosk…+14
Gap#17
Chayka
WR 50% 43 pts
WR 17% 16 pts
Rodina Moskva
14.0%
| Mar 14 | Rodina … v SKA Kha… | 2-2 |
| Mar 08 | Rodina … v Torpedo… | 0-2 |
| Mar 02 | Rodina … v Shinnik… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Rodina … v Enisey | 3-1 |
| Feb 01 | Rodina … v FC Porto | 0-1 |
| Jan 26 | Rodina … v Shangha… | 1-1 |
| Dec 01 | Rodina … v KAMAZ | 0-0 |
| Nov 23 | Rodina … v Enisey | 0-0 |
| Nov 17 | Rodina … v Spartak… | 0-2 |
| Nov 08 | Rodina … v FK Neft… | 1-1 |
Chayka
12.0%
| Mar 14 | Chayka v Spartak… | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Chayka v FK Soko… | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Chayka v SKA Kha… | 1-3 |
| Feb 21 | Chayka v PK-35 | 1-1 |
| Feb 18 | Chayka v EIF | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Chayka v KäPa | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | Chayka v Altay | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Chayka v SJK Aka… | 1-2 |
| Jan 28 | Chayka v Enisey | 0-3 |
| Nov 29 | Chayka v FC UFA | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 04, 2025 | Chayka | 0-0 | Rodina Moskva |
Decision Breakdown
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
88%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Rodina Moskva in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.