Cup · Mar 18, 2026 17:45
Spartak Moscow
PWR 61
Dinamo Moscow
PWR 54
Spartak Moscow
PWR 61
1-1
predicted
Dinamo Moscow
PWR 54
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
63%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (10%)2-0 (10%)3-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.41x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.09x
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS
Yes 55%
Over 3.5
69%
69%
Team Comparison
56Attack66
70Defense49
Goals/G
1.61.9
Conc/G
0.91.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Spartak Moscow
LWLWW
STABLE
Dinamo Moscow
WWWWL
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Spartak Moscowvs
1.03
Dinamo MoscowGoal Probability
Spartak Mos…
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Dinamo Mosc…
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
2-2 (7%)1-2 (6%)2-3 (6%)2-1 (6%)1-3 (5%)3-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 5.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Spartak Mos…+3
Gap#4
Dinamo Mosc…
WR 56% 115 pts
WR 46% 41 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Moscow | 61 | 34 | 13 | 14 | 98 | 53 | 115 |
| Dinamo Moscow | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 38 | 41 |
Spartak Moscow
12.0%
| Mar 14 | Spartak… v Zenit S… | 2-0 |
| Mar 09 | Spartak… v Akron | 4-3 |
| Mar 05 | Spartak… v Dinamo … | 5-2 |
| Mar 02 | Spartak… v PFC Soc… | 2-3 |
| Feb 21 | Spartak… v FC Rost… | 5-2 |
| Feb 18 | Spartak… v FC Porto | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Spartak… v Dalian … | 1-0 |
| Feb 06 | Spartak… v Dinamo … | 1-1 |
| Feb 03 | Spartak… v Pyunik … | 2-0 |
| Dec 06 | Spartak… v Dinamo … | 1-1 |
Dinamo Moscow
16.0%
| Mar 14 | Dinamo … v FC Rost… | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Dinamo … v CSKA Mo… | 1-4 |
| Mar 05 | Dinamo … v Spartak… | 5-2 |
| Mar 01 | Dinamo … v Krylya … | 4-0 |
| Feb 16 | Dinamo … v Ural | 2-1 |
| Feb 06 | Dinamo … v Spartak… | 1-1 |
| Feb 03 | Dinamo … v Zenit S… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Dinamo … v Belshina | 3-2 |
| Jan 26 | Dinamo … v Chengdu… | 1-1 |
| Dec 06 | Dinamo … v Spartak… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 05, 2026 | Dinamo Moscow | 5-2 | Spartak Moscow |
| Feb 06, 2026 | Spartak Moscow | 1-1 | Dinamo Moscow |
| Dec 06, 2025 | Spartak Moscow | 1-1 | Dinamo Moscow |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Dinamo Moscow | 2-2 | Spartak Moscow |
| May 11, 2025 | Dinamo Moscow | 2-0 | Spartak Moscow |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Spartak Moscow | 2-1 | Dinamo Moscow |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Dinamo Moscow | 0-0 | Spartak Moscow |
| Apr 06, 2025 | Spartak Moscow | 3-1 | Dinamo Moscow |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Spartak Moscow | 2-1 | Dinamo Moscow |
| Feb 07, 2025 | Dinamo Moscow | 0-1 | Spartak Moscow |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
50%
Market
55%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Spartak Moscow in strong form (3W in last 5)
Dinamo Moscow in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.