Copa Argentina · Mar 20, 2026 21:00
San Lorenzo de Almagro
PWR 32
Deportivo Madryn
PWR 17
San Lorenzo de Almagro
PWR 32
1-0
predicted
Deportivo Madryn
PWR 17
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Under 2.5
Goals · Low scoring expected: 1.7 total goals avg
80%
accuracy
1.7x
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: San Lorenzo de Almagro to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (24%)2-0 (22%)3-0 (13%)0-0 (13%)1-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
32%
Under 2.5
68%
68%
BTTS
No
No 15%
Over 3.5
2%
Team Comparison
15Attack9
65Defense39
Goals/G
0.40.3
Conc/G
1.01.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
San Lorenzo de…
DDDWD
STABLE
Deportivo Madr…
DDLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Copa Argentina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
San Lorenzo de…vs
0.20
Deportivo Madr…Goal Probability
San Lorenzo…
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4
8%
Deportivo M…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (40%)1-0 (26%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (9%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (2%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 61% | 40% | - |
| 1.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#27
San Lorenzo…+23
Gap#50
Deportivo M…
WR 14% 5 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Lorenzo d… | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| Deportivo Mad… | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
San Lorenzo de…
12.0%
| Mar 11 | San Lor… v Boca Ju… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | San Lor… v Tallere… | 0-0 |
| Feb 24 | San Lor… v Institu… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | San Lor… v Estudia… | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | San Lor… v Unión S… | 0-0 |
| Feb 08 | San Lor… v Huracan | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | San Lor… v Central… | 1-0 |
| Jan 27 | San Lor… v Gimnasi… | 0-1 |
| Jan 23 | San Lor… v Lanús | 2-3 |
| Jan 17 | San Lor… v Cerro P… | 0-0 |
Deportivo Madr…
6.0%
| Mar 14 | Deporti… v All Boys | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Deporti… v Godoy C… | 0-0 |
| Feb 25 | Deporti… v San Mar… | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Deporti… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Deporti… v Unión S… | 2-1 |
| Nov 30 | Deporti… v Estudia… | 1-1 |
| Nov 23 | Deporti… v Estudia… | 2-0 |
| Nov 16 | Deporti… v Deporti… | 1-0 |
| Nov 09 | Deporti… v Deporti… | 1-0 |
| Nov 02 | Deporti… v Gimnasi… | 1-0 |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
89%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.