South Australia NPL · Mar 21, 2026 04:00
Croydon Kings
PWR 35
Adelaide United
PWR 56
Croydon Kings
PWR 35
0-1
predicted
Adelaide United
PWR 56
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Adelaide United to win (55% confidence)
Score
0-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (9%)1-2 (9%)2-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-3 (6%)0-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
66%
66%
Under 2.5
34%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 67%
Over 3.5
43%
Team Comparison
0Attack56
100Defense65
Goals/G
0.01.6
Conc/G
0.01.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Croydon Kings
DLWWD
STABLE
Adelaide United
LDWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Croydon Kingsvs
2.00
Adelaide UnitedGoal Probability
Croydon Kin…
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Adelaide Un…
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)1-2 (9%)2-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)0-1 (6%)0-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 4.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Croydon Kin…+1
Gap#5
Adelaide Un…
WR 52% 38 pts
WR 44% 35 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croydon Kings | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 38 |
| Adelaide Unit… | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 37 | 23 | 35 |
Croydon Kings
12.0%
| Mar 14 | Croydon… v Playfor… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Croydon… v Adelaid… | 0-4 |
| Feb 27 | Croydon… v Para Hi… | 3-2 |
| Sep 12 | Croydon… v MetroSt… | 1-2 |
| Sep 06 | Croydon… v Adelaid… | 0-0 |
| Aug 30 | Croydon… v Adelaid… | 1-1 |
| Aug 23 | Croydon… v West To… | 4-1 |
| Aug 15 | Croydon… v West To… | 1-0 |
| Aug 02 | Croydon… v White C… | 0-2 |
| Jul 19 | Croydon… v Adelaid… | 2-2 |
Adelaide United
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Adelaid… v Adelaid… | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Adelaid… v Central… | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Adelaid… v Croydon… | 0-4 |
| Mar 07 | Adelaid… v Stirlin… | 4-3 |
| Mar 06 | Adelaid… v Welling… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Adelaid… v Adelaid… | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Adelaid… v Melbour… | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Adelaid… v Perth G… | 4-0 |
| Feb 14 | Adelaid… v Sydney | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Adelaid… v Newcast… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 07, 2026 | Croydon Kings | 0-4 | Adelaide Unit… |
| Sep 06, 2025 | Adelaide Unit… | 0-0 | Croydon Kings |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Croydon Kings | 1-1 | Adelaide Unit… |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Croydon Kings | 2-2 | Adelaide Unit… |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Adelaide Unit… | 2-1 | Croydon Kings |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Adelaide Unit… | 4-0 | Croydon Kings |
| May 04, 2024 | Croydon Kings | 1-0 | Adelaide Unit… |
| Aug 11, 2023 | Croydon Kings | 1-0 | Adelaide Unit… |
| May 06, 2023 | Adelaide Unit… | 1-1 | Croydon Kings |
| Jun 04, 2022 | Adelaide Unit… | 1-0 | Croydon Kings |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
44%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.