South Australia NPL · Mar 21, 2026 08:30
MetroStars
PWR 35
Adelaide United
PWR 56
MetroStars
PWR 35
3-2
predicted
Adelaide United
PWR 56
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MetroStars Win
Score
3-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (11%)0-1 (11%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS
No 48%
Over 3.5
49%
Team Comparison
0Attack56
100Defense65
Goals/G
0.01.6
Conc/G
0.01.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
MetroStars
WLWLW
STABLE
Adelaide United
LDWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
MetroStarsvs
1.17
Adelaide UnitedGoal Probability
MetroStars
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Adelaide Un…
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (9%)1-1 (9%)2-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-3 (6%)0-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 4.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
MetroStars+3
Gap#5
Adelaide Un…
WR 65% 42 pts
WR 44% 35 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MetroStars | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 43 | 26 | 42 |
| Adelaide Unit… | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 37 | 23 | 35 |
MetroStars
12.0%
| Mar 14 | MetroSt… v Stirlin… | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | MetroSt… v Playfor… | 1-3 |
| Feb 28 | MetroSt… v Campbel… | 2-3 |
| Nov 22 | MetroSt… v Heidelb… | 6-1 |
| Nov 16 | MetroSt… v Sydney | 2-0 |
| Nov 09 | MetroSt… v Bayswat… | 2-0 |
| Nov 02 | MetroSt… v APIA Le… | 1-1 |
| Oct 25 | MetroSt… v Sydney | 1-2 |
| Oct 19 | MetroSt… v Bayswat… | 1-0 |
| Oct 11 | MetroSt… v APIA Le… | 0-1 |
Adelaide United
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Adelaid… v Adelaid… | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Adelaid… v Central… | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Adelaid… v Croydon… | 0-4 |
| Mar 07 | Adelaid… v Stirlin… | 4-3 |
| Mar 06 | Adelaid… v Welling… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Adelaid… v Adelaid… | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Adelaid… v Melbour… | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Adelaid… v Perth G… | 4-0 |
| Feb 14 | Adelaid… v Sydney | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Adelaid… v Newcast… | 2-3 |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
MetroStars in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.