First League · Mar 16, 2026 16:30
Torpedo Moscow
PWR 35
FK Neftekhimik
PWR 35
Torpedo Moscow
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
FK Neftekhimik
PWR 35
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (14%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (10%)0-0 (10%)1-2 (9%)1-0 (9%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.41x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.93x
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS
No 44%
Over 3.5
9%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Torpedo Moscow
LWDWW
STABLE
FK Neftekhimik
WDDLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 3% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 3/7 draws (43%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskAway draws 50% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 77% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Torpedo Moscowvs
1.45
FK NeftekhimikGoal Probability
Torpedo Mos…
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
FK Neftekhi…
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (19%)0-1 (16%)1-0 (16%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (7%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 2.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Torpedo Mos…-6
Gap#9
FK Neftekhi…
WR 27% 24 pts
WR 30% 31 pts
Torpedo Moscow
14.0%
| Mar 08 | Torpedo… v Rodina … | 0-2 |
| Mar 01 | Torpedo… v Chernom… | 0-2 |
| Feb 03 | Torpedo… v Krylya … | 0-0 |
| Jan 29 | Torpedo… v Volga U… | 1-2 |
| Nov 30 | Torpedo… v Spartak… | 0-1 |
| Nov 25 | Torpedo… v Baltika | 0-2 |
| Nov 21 | Torpedo… v Volga U… | 2-0 |
| Nov 15 | Torpedo… v Rotor V… | 2-0 |
| Nov 09 | Torpedo… v FK Soko… | 1-1 |
| Nov 03 | Torpedo… v Fakel V… | 2-0 |
FK Neftekhimik
10.0%
| Feb 28 | FK Neft… v FC UFA | 2-0 |
| Feb 17 | FK Neft… v Tekstil… | 0-0 |
| Feb 04 | FK Neft… v HamKam | 0-0 |
| Jan 30 | FK Neft… v Tyumen | 2-4 |
| Nov 30 | FK Neft… v Arsenal… | 0-0 |
| Nov 26 | FK Neft… v FC Rost… | 1-3 |
| Nov 22 | FK Neft… v Chayka | 2-4 |
| Nov 15 | FK Neft… v Ural | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | FK Neft… v Rodina … | 1-1 |
| Nov 03 | FK Neft… v SKA Kha… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Jul 27, 2025 | FK Neftekhimik | 0-0 | Torpedo Moscow |
| Mar 15, 2025 | FK Neftekhimik | 0-1 | Torpedo Moscow |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Torpedo Moscow | 2-1 | FK Neftekhimik |
| Nov 12, 2023 | FK Neftekhimik | 0-0 | Torpedo Moscow |
| Aug 21, 2023 | Torpedo Moscow | 2-1 | FK Neftekhimik |
| Jun 30, 2023 | Torpedo Moscow | 1-2 | FK Neftekhimik |
| Feb 02, 2023 | Torpedo Moscow | 0-0 | FK Neftekhimik |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
42%
Standings
38%
Market
51%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Torpedo Moscow in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.