Liga Nacional · Mar 19, 2026 23:15
Lobos Upnfm
PWR 34
Lobos Upnfm
PWR 34
2-1
predicted
Atlético Choloma
PWR 22
PWR 22
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Lobos Upnfm Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (19%)2-0 (18%)3-0 (12%)0-0 (10%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS
No
No 28%
Over 3.5
20%
Team Comparison
37Attack33
42Defense20
Goals/G
1.00.9
Conc/G
1.72.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Lobos Upnfm
LLWWW
DOWN
Atlético Cholo…
DDLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 2/3 draws (67%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Lobos Upnfmvs
0.39
Atlético Cholo…Goal Probability
Lobos Upnfm
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Atlético Ch…
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (16%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 67% | 34% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 3.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Lobos Upnfm+3
Gap#11
Atlético Ch…
WR 23% 88 pts
WR 13% 19 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lobos Upnfm | 91 | 21 | 25 | 45 | 95 | 152 | 88 |
| Atlético Chol… | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 29 | 71 | 19 |
Lobos Upnfm
12.0%
| Mar 14 | Lobos U… v CD Mara… | 2-0 |
| Mar 11 | Lobos U… v CD Mota… | 2-0 |
| Mar 09 | Lobos U… v Jutical… | 3-2 |
| Mar 02 | Lobos U… v Génesis | 0-2 |
| Feb 26 | Lobos U… v Platens… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Lobos U… v Real Es… | 4-3 |
| Feb 12 | Lobos U… v Victoria | 2-2 |
| Feb 07 | Lobos U… v CD Olim… | 0-1 |
| Feb 02 | Lobos U… v Olancho | 1-1 |
| Jan 29 | Lobos U… v Atlétic… | 1-1 |
Atlético Cholo…
8.0%
| Mar 15 | Atlétic… v Jutical… | 1-1 |
| Mar 11 | Atlétic… v CD Mara… | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Atlétic… v CD Mota… | 1-3 |
| Feb 26 | Atlétic… v CD Olim… | 3-0 |
| Feb 22 | Atlétic… v Victoria | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Atlétic… v Real Es… | 2-1 |
| Feb 11 | Atlétic… v Olancho | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Atlétic… v Platens… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Atlétic… v Génesis | 0-0 |
| Jan 29 | Atlétic… v Lobos U… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Jan 29, 2026 | Atlético Chol… | 1-1 | Lobos Upnfm |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Atlético Chol… | 5-1 | Lobos Upnfm |
| Aug 04, 2025 | Lobos Upnfm | 2-2 | Atlético Chol… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Lobos Upnfm in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.