Division Profesional - Apertura · Mar 21, 2026 23:30
Libertad Asunción
PWR 63
Cerro Porteño
PWR 58
Libertad Asunción
PWR 63
2-2
predicted
Cerro Porteño
PWR 58
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Cerro Porteño Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (18%)0-2 (14%)0-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)1-2 (8%)1-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
65%
BTTS
No 35%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
59Attack54
72Defense71
Goals/G
1.71.5
Conc/G
0.80.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Libertad Asunc…
WWWLL
UP
Cerro Porteño
WWWWL
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.5%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60
Libertad Asunc…vs
1.53
Cerro PorteñoGoal Probability
Libertad As…
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Cerro Porte…
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (15%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 2.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Libertad As…+1
Gap#2
Cerro Porte…
WR 56% 82 pts
WR 49% 73 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertad Asun… | 43 | 24 | 10 | 9 | 73 | 35 | 82 |
| Cerro Porteño | 41 | 20 | 13 | 8 | 63 | 34 | 73 |
Libertad Asunc…
12.0%
| Mar 13 | Liberta… v 2 de Ma… | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Liberta… v Sportiv… | 1-0 |
| Mar 02 | Liberta… v Club Sp… | 0-7 |
| Feb 25 | Liberta… v Olimpia | 1-0 |
| Feb 20 | Liberta… v Rubio Ñu | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Liberta… v Sportiv… | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Liberta… v Club Gu… | 3-3 |
| Feb 02 | Liberta… v Deporti… | 2-1 |
| Jan 28 | Liberta… v Sportiv… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Liberta… v Cerro P… | 1-1 |
Cerro Porteño
16.0%
| Mar 14 | Cerro P… v Sportiv… | 2-1 |
| Mar 07 | Cerro P… v Club Gu… | 0-2 |
| Mar 01 | Cerro P… v Deporti… | 2-0 |
| Feb 25 | Cerro P… v Sportiv… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Cerro P… v Olimpia | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Cerro P… v Naciona… | 0-2 |
| Feb 07 | Cerro P… v 2 de Ma… | 0-0 |
| Feb 02 | Cerro P… v Sportiv… | 2-0 |
| Jan 27 | Cerro P… v Club Sp… | 2-4 |
| Jan 24 | Cerro P… v Liberta… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 24, 2026 | Cerro Porteño | 1-1 | Libertad Asun… |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Cerro Porteño | 1-0 | Libertad Asun… |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Libertad Asun… | 1-1 | Cerro Porteño |
| Apr 05, 2025 | Libertad Asun… | 1-0 | Cerro Porteño |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Cerro Porteño | 2-2 | Libertad Asun… |
| Nov 28, 2024 | Cerro Porteño | 2-3 | Libertad Asun… |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Libertad Asun… | 2-1 | Cerro Porteño |
| May 04, 2024 | Libertad Asun… | 1-3 | Cerro Porteño |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Cerro Porteño | 1-1 | Libertad Asun… |
| Nov 06, 2023 | Libertad Asun… | 1-1 | Cerro Porteño |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
36%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Libertad Asunción in strong form (3W in last 5)
Cerro Porteño in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.