J1 League · Mar 18, 2026 09:30
Cerezo Osaka
PWR 35
Fagiano Okayama
PWR 35
Cerezo Osaka
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Fagiano Okayama
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Cerezo Osaka Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (17%)0-0 (16%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.49x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.85x
Over 2.5
28%
Under 2.5
72%
72%
BTTS
No 36%
Over 3.5
9%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Cerezo Osaka
DDLLW
STABLE
Fagiano Okayama
DDDLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Cerezo Osakavs
0.78
Fagiano OkayamaGoal Probability
Cerezo Osaka
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Fagiano Oka…
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (21%)0-0 (19%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (12%)0-1 (11%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 2.5 | 24% | 77% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Cerezo Osaka+3
Gap#9
Fagiano Oka…
WR 0% 4 pts
WR 0% 2 pts
Cerezo Osaka
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Cerezo … v Kyoto S… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Cerezo … v Shimizu… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Cerezo … v V-Varen… | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Cerezo … v Sanfrec… | 1-2 |
| Feb 15 | Cerezo … v Avispa … | 0-2 |
| Feb 07 | Cerezo … v Gamba O… | 0-0 |
| Dec 06 | Cerezo … v Yokoham… | 1-3 |
| Nov 30 | Cerezo … v Yokoham… | 3-1 |
| Nov 09 | Cerezo … v Shimizu… | 1-4 |
| Oct 25 | Cerezo … v Kawasak… | 2-0 |
Fagiano Okayama
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Fagiano… v Shimizu… | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Fagiano… v Kyoto S… | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Fagiano… v Nagoya … | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Fagiano… v Gamba O… | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Fagiano… v Sanfrec… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Fagiano… v Avispa … | 1-1 |
| Dec 06 | Fagiano… v Shimizu… | 1-2 |
| Nov 30 | Fagiano… v Urawa | 0-1 |
| Nov 08 | Fagiano… v Kawasak… | 1-1 |
| Oct 25 | Fagiano… v FC Tokyo | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 18, 2025 | Fagiano Okaya… | 1-2 | Cerezo Osaka |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
63%
Standings
55%
Market
48%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.