Premier League · Mar 22, 2026 10:45
Orenburg
PWR 35
Spartak Moscow
PWR 35
Orenburg
PWR 35
1-2
predicted
Spartak Moscow
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Spartak Moscow Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (13%)2-0 (9%)1-0 (4%)3-1 (3%)2-1 (2%)1-1 (1%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS
No
No 23%
Over 3.5
31%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Orenburg
LWLWW
STABLE
Spartak Moscow
LWLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 3% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 46% at home = very high riskH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskCombined DR 66% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (28.9%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Orenburgvs
0.26
Spartak MoscowGoal Probability
Orenburg
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Spartak Mos…
0
77%
1
20%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (11%)1-1 (11%)0-2 (10%)1-2 (10%)0-3 (6%)1-3 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 54% | 47% | - |
| 3.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 16% | 85% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Orenburg-9
Gap#6
Spartak Mos…
WR 27% 18 pts
WR 30% 35 pts
Orenburg
12.0%
| Mar 13 | Orenburg v Makhach… | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | Orenburg v Zenit S… | 2-1 |
| Mar 04 | Orenburg v Krylya … | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Orenburg v Akron | 2-0 |
| Feb 20 | Orenburg v Rubin | 1-0 |
| Dec 05 | Orenburg v Akhmat … | 1-0 |
| Nov 29 | Orenburg v CSKA Mo… | 2-0 |
| Nov 26 | Orenburg v Krasnod… | 4-0 |
| Nov 22 | Orenburg v Baltika | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Orenburg v Lokomot… | 1-0 |
Spartak Moscow
12.0%
| Mar 14 | Spartak… v Zenit S… | 2-0 |
| Mar 09 | Spartak… v Akron | 4-3 |
| Mar 05 | Spartak… v Dinamo … | 5-2 |
| Mar 02 | Spartak… v PFC Soc… | 2-3 |
| Feb 21 | Spartak… v FC Rost… | 5-2 |
| Feb 18 | Spartak… v FC Porto | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Spartak… v Dalian … | 1-0 |
| Feb 06 | Spartak… v Dinamo … | 1-1 |
| Feb 03 | Spartak… v Pyunik … | 2-0 |
| Dec 06 | Spartak… v Dinamo … | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Oct 25, 2025 | Spartak Moscow | 1-0 | Orenburg |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Orenburg | 0-2 | Spartak Moscow |
| Aug 04, 2024 | Spartak Moscow | 5-1 | Orenburg |
| May 25, 2024 | Orenburg | 0-0 | Spartak Moscow |
| Mar 14, 2024 | Spartak Moscow | 3-1 | Orenburg |
| Mar 02, 2024 | Spartak Moscow | 1-1 | Orenburg |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Orenburg | 1-0 | Spartak Moscow |
| Nov 02, 2023 | Spartak Moscow | 3-1 | Orenburg |
| Aug 25, 2023 | Orenburg | 1-1 | Spartak Moscow |
| Jul 26, 2023 | Orenburg | 0-6 | Spartak Moscow |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
32%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Orenburg in strong form (3W in last 5)
Spartak Moscow in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.