J2 League · Mar 22, 2026 05:00
Montedio Yamagata
PWR 35
Vegalta Sendai
PWR 53
Montedio Yamagata
PWR 35
3-1
predicted
Vegalta Sendai
PWR 53
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Montedio Yamagata Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (18%)2-0 (13%)0-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)2-1 (8%)0-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
65%
BTTS
No 37%
Over 3.5
6%
Team Comparison
0Attack46
100Defense68
Goals/G
0.01.3
Conc/G
0.00.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Montedio Yamag…
DDLDW
STABLE
Vegalta Sendai
DDDDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Montedio Yamag…vs
0.67
Vegalta SendaiGoal Probability
Montedio Ya…
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Vegalta Sen…
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (23%)1-0 (20%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 2.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Montedio Ya…+6
Gap#8
Vegalta Sen…
WR 53% 105 pts
WR 44% 80 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montedio Yama… | 59 | 31 | 12 | 16 | 95 | 68 | 105 |
| Vegalta Sendai | 48 | 21 | 17 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 80 |
Montedio Yamag…
10.0%
| Mar 14 | Montedi… v Shonan … | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Montedi… v Blaubli… | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Montedi… v Sagamih… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Montedi… v Thespak… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Montedi… v Tochigi… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Montedi… v Yokoham… | 1-2 |
| Nov 29 | Montedi… v Fujieda… | 2-1 |
| Nov 23 | Montedi… v Júbilo … | 2-2 |
| Nov 09 | Montedi… v Imabari | 2-1 |
| Nov 02 | Montedi… v Oita Tr… | 1-2 |
Vegalta Sendai
12.0%
| Mar 14 | Vegalta… v Sagamih… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Vegalta… v Shonan … | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Vegalta… v Vanraur… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Vegalta… v Nojima … | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Vegalta… v Tochigi… | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Vegalta… v Yokoham… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Vegalta… v Tokyo V… | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Vegalta… v Tochigi… | 1-4 |
| Dec 20 | Vegalta… v Omiya A… | 0-0 |
| Nov 29 | Vegalta… v Iwaki | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Sep 20, 2025 | Vegalta Sendai | 3-1 | Montedio Yama… |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Montedio Yama… | 3-4 | Vegalta Sendai |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.