Second League · Mar 21, 2026 13:30
Spartak Varna
PWR 36
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
PWR 35
Spartak Varna
PWR 36
1-2
predicted
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Etar Veliko Tarnovo Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (17%)1-0 (17%)3-0 (11%)0-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS
No
No 33%
Over 3.5
23%
Team Comparison
29Attack0
53Defense100
Goals/G
0.80.0
Conc/G
1.30.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Spartak Varna
WLLLW
STABLE
Etar Veliko Ta…
DWLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 3% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.2%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Spartak Varnavs
0.47
Etar Veliko Ta…Goal Probability
Spartak Var…
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Etar Veliko…
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (11%)0-1 (10%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Spartak Var…-9
Gap#5
Etar Veliko…
WR 25% 37 pts
WR 28% 65 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Varna | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 48 | 37 |
| Etar Veliko T… | 50 | 14 | 23 | 13 | 61 | 57 | 65 |
Spartak Varna
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Spartak… v Hebar 1… | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Spartak… v CSKA 19… | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Spartak… v Chernom… | 1-2 |
| Mar 06 | Spartak… v Slavia … | 4-0 |
| Mar 03 | Spartak… v Montana | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Spartak… v Pirin B… | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Spartak… v Arda Ka… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Spartak… v Lokomot… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Spartak… v Dunav R… | 4-0 |
| Feb 13 | Spartak… v Lokomot… | 2-2 |
Etar Veliko Ta…
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Etar Ve… v Lokomot… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Etar Ve… v FK Miny… | 3-0 |
| Feb 24 | Etar Ve… v Yantra … | 4-0 |
| Feb 17 | Etar Ve… v Fratria | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Etar Ve… v Cherno … | 2-0 |
| Jan 23 | Etar Ve… v Cherno … | 0-6 |
| Dec 07 | Etar Ve… v Sevlievo | 0-1 |
| Dec 02 | Etar Ve… v Sportis… | 0-3 |
| Nov 28 | Etar Ve… v Ludogor… | 0-1 |
| Nov 23 | Etar Ve… v Marek | 4-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 13, 2025 | Etar Veliko T… | 0-0 | Spartak Varna |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
87%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Spartak Varna struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.