Primera DivisiĆ³n · Mar 22, 2026 02:00
CS Herediano
PWR 35
LD Alajuelense
PWR 35
CS Herediano
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
LD Alajuelense
PWR 35
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: CS Herediano to win (56% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
56%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (16%)2-0 (15%)3-0 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS
No 37%
Over 3.5
12%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
CS Herediano
LLWWL
DOWN
LD Alajuelense
WDWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
CS Heredianovs
0.57
LD AlajuelenseGoal Probability
CS Herediano
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
LD Alajueleā¦
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (17%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 2.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
CS Herediano+2
Gap#4
LD Alajueleā¦
WR 58% 22 pts
WR 42% 18 pts
CS Herediano
8.0%
| Mar 15 | CS Hereā¦ v Municipā¦ | 1-2 |
| Mar 08 | CS Hereā¦ v Deportiā¦ | 2-1 |
| Mar 05 | CS Hereā¦ v Guadaluā¦ | 0-2 |
| Mar 01 | CS Hereā¦ v Perez Zā¦ | 3-0 |
| Feb 23 | CS Hereā¦ v San Carā¦ | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | CS Hereā¦ v CS Cartā¦ | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | CS Hereā¦ v LD Alajā¦ | 1-1 |
| Feb 03 | CS Hereā¦ v Puntareā¦ | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | CS Hereā¦ v Puntareā¦ | 2-1 |
| Jan 25 | CS Hereā¦ v Municipā¦ | 1-0 |
LD Alajuelense
14.0%
| Mar 14 | LD Alajā¦ v Perez Zā¦ | 3-0 |
| Mar 11 | LD Alajā¦ v Los Angā¦ | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | LD Alajā¦ v San Carā¦ | 0-2 |
| Mar 04 | LD Alajā¦ v CS Cartā¦ | 2-0 |
| Mar 01 | LD Alajā¦ v Puntareā¦ | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | LD Alajā¦ v Deportiā¦ | 2-1 |
| Feb 16 | LD Alajā¦ v Sportinā¦ | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | LD Alajā¦ v CS Hereā¦ | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | LD Alajā¦ v Municipā¦ | 0-1 |
| Jan 28 | LD Alajā¦ v Guadaluā¦ | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 08, 2026 | LD Alajuelense | 1-1 | CS Herediano |
| Oct 17, 2025 | CS Herediano | 1-3 | LD Alajuelense |
| Aug 10, 2025 | LD Alajuelense | 0-1 | CS Herediano |
| Jul 20, 2025 | CS Herediano | 0-1 | LD Alajuelense |
| May 29, 2025 | CS Herediano | 1-0 | LD Alajuelense |
| May 25, 2025 | LD Alajuelense | 0-0 | CS Herediano |
| Mar 09, 2025 | CS Herediano | 1-2 | LD Alajuelense |
| Feb 06, 2025 | LD Alajuelense | 1-1 | CS Herediano |
| Dec 28, 2024 | LD Alajuelense | 2-1 | CS Herediano |
| Dec 22, 2024 | CS Herediano | 2-0 | LD Alajuelense |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
85%
Standings
58%
Market
50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
LD Alajuelense in strong form (3W in last 5)
CS Herediano struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.