Primera A · Mar 23, 2026 21:10
Santa Fe
PWR 35
Independiente Medellin
PWR 35
Santa Fe
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Independiente Medellin
PWR 35
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Santa Fe to win (60% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
60%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)2-0 (6%)1-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
70%
70%
Under 2.5
30%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 69%
Over 3.5
28%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Santa Fe
DLWLL
STABLE
Independiente …
WWDLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Primera A
Expected Goals (xG)
2.37
Santa Fevs
1.45
Independiente …Goal Probability
Santa Fe
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Independien…
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)2-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Santa Fe+2
Gap#16
Independien…
WR 20% 11 pts
WR 20% 7 pts
Santa Fe
6.0%
| Mar 15 | Santa Fe v Alianza… | 1-1 |
| Feb 26 | Santa Fe v Atlétic… | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | Santa Fe v Junior | 2-1 |
| Feb 17 | Santa Fe v Jaguares | 3-1 |
| Feb 14 | Santa Fe v America… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Santa Fe v Fortale… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Santa Fe v Chico | 0-1 |
| Jan 28 | Santa Fe v Deporti… | 2-2 |
| Jan 26 | Santa Fe v Once Ca… | 1-1 |
| Jan 22 | Santa Fe v Junior | 3-0 |
Independiente …
12.0%
| Mar 15 | Indepen… v Jaguares | 1-2 |
| Mar 13 | Indepen… v Juventud | 2-1 |
| Mar 06 | Indepen… v Juventud | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Indepen… v Bucaram… | 1-2 |
| Feb 25 | Indepen… v Peñarol… | 0-0 |
| Feb 20 | Indepen… v Llaneros | 2-2 |
| Feb 18 | Indepen… v Peñarol… | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Indepen… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Feb 10 | Indepen… v Cúcuta … | 1-3 |
| Feb 07 | Indepen… v La Equi… | 1-2 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
53%
Market
50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Santa Fe struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.