1st Division · Mar 18, 2026 13:00
Kastrioti Krujë
PWR 35
Kastrioti Krujë
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Burreli
PWR 35
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Kastrioti Krujë Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (16%)3-0 (15%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (6%)3-1 (6%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
No
No 29%
Over 3.5
7%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Kastrioti Krujë
LLDDL
DOWN
Burreli
DDLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk36%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 36% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 64% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (36.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.85
Kastrioti Krujëvs
0.37
BurreliGoal Probability
Kastrioti K…
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
Burreli
0
69%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (22%)1-0 (20%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 2.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Kastrioti K…+1
Gap#5
Burreli
WR 55% 30 pts
WR 27% 30 pts
Kastrioti Krujë
4.0%
| Mar 14 | Kastrio… v Iliria … | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Kastrio… v Besa Ka… | 2-3 |
| Feb 28 | Kastrio… v Korabi … | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Kastrio… v Apoloni… | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Kastrio… v Luftëta… | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | Kastrio… v FK Kuke… | 2-1 |
| Jan 30 | Kastrio… v Skender… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Kastrio… v Pograde… | 2-4 |
| Jan 17 | Kastrio… v Iliria … | 0-1 |
| Dec 20 | Kastrio… v Lushnja | 2-1 |
Burreli
6.0%
| Mar 14 | Burreli v FK Kuke… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Burreli v Iliria … | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Burreli v Besa Ka… | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Burreli v Korabi … | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | Burreli v Pograde… | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | Burreli v Iliria … | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Burreli v Lushnja | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Burreli v Laci | 1-2 |
| Jan 17 | Burreli v Apoloni… | 2-0 |
| Jan 10 | Burreli v Partiza… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 13, 2025 | Burreli | 0-0 | Kastrioti Kru… |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Burreli | 5-2 | Kastrioti Kru… |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Kastrioti Kru… | 1-1 | Burreli |
| Mar 01, 2025 | Burreli | 1-0 | Kastrioti Kru… |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Burreli | 3-1 | Kastrioti Kru… |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Kastrioti Kru… | 2-1 | Burreli |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Kastrioti Kru… | 3-1 | Burreli |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Kastrioti Kru… | 0-0 | Burreli |
| Sep 13, 2023 | Burreli | 0-0 | Kastrioti Kru… |
| Nov 01, 2020 | Kastrioti Kru… | 2-1 | Burreli |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
60%
Market
50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Kastrioti Krujë struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.