1st Division · Mar 18, 2026 13:00
Pogradeci
PWR 35
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
PWR 35
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Pogradeci Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (21%)1-0 (20%)3-0 (15%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (5%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS
No
No 19%
Over 3.5
12%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Pogradeci
WLWWW
STABLE
Iliria Fushë-K…
WDDDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANT
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskAway draws 45% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 73% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
Pogradecivs
0.24
Iliria Fushë-K…Goal Probability
Pogradeci
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Iliria Fush…
0
79%
1
19%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (20%)0-0 (15%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 2.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Pogradeci+3
Gap#6
Iliria Fush…
WR 55% 43 pts
WR 18% 29 pts
Pogradeci
16.0%
| Mar 14 | Pograde… v Besa Ka… | 2-3 |
| Mar 07 | Pograde… v Korabi … | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Pograde… v Apoloni… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Pograde… v Lushnja | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Pograde… v Burreli | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Pograde… v Apoloni… | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | Pograde… v Korabi … | 3-1 |
| Jan 24 | Pograde… v Kastrio… | 2-4 |
| Jan 17 | Pograde… v Besa Ka… | 0-0 |
| Jan 10 | Pograde… v Vllazni… | 1-0 |
Iliria Fushë-K…
14.0%
| Mar 14 | Iliria … v Kastrio… | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Iliria … v Burreli | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Iliria … v FK Kuke… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Iliria … v Besa Ka… | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | Iliria … v Lushnja | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Iliria … v Burreli | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Iliria … v Apoloni… | 2-0 |
| Jan 24 | Iliria … v Korabi … | 2-1 |
| Jan 17 | Iliria … v Kastrio… | 0-1 |
| Dec 21 | Iliria … v Besa Ka… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Nov 29, 2025 | Pogradeci | 0-0 | Iliria Fushë-… |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Iliria Fushë-… | 0-0 | Pogradeci |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
92%
Standings
65%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Pogradeci in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.