Premijer Liga · Mar 22, 2026 18:45
FK Sarajevo
PWR 35
Velež
PWR 35
FK Sarajevo
PWR 35
3-1
predicted
Velež
PWR 35
23%
29%
48%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Velež Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (10%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (9%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS
No 45%
Over 3.5
12%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FK Sarajevo
LLDLL
DOWN
Velež
WWWLW
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.8%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
FK Sarajevovs
0.90
VeležGoal Probability
FK Sarajevo
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Velež
0
41%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (18%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (11%)1-0 (11%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 2.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
FK Sarajevo+1
Gap#4
Velež
WR 67% 39 pts
WR 31% 36 pts
FK Sarajevo
2.0%
| Mar 15 | FK Sara… v Široki … | 1-0 |
| Mar 11 | FK Sara… v Velež | 4-1 |
| Mar 07 | FK Sara… v Rudar P… | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | FK Sara… v Borac B… | 2-0 |
| Feb 25 | FK Sara… v Velež | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | FK Sara… v Posušje | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | FK Sara… v Sloga D… | 0-1 |
| Feb 11 | FK Sara… v Čelik | 0-1 |
| Feb 06 | FK Sara… v Radnik … | 2-0 |
| Jan 28 | FK Sara… v Shkëndi… | 2-3 |
Velež
16.0%
| Mar 15 | Velež v Rudar P… | 1-2 |
| Mar 11 | Velež v FK Sara… | 4-1 |
| Mar 06 | Velež v Posušje | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Velež v Radnik … | 1-0 |
| Feb 25 | Velež v FK Sara… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Velež v Željezn… | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Velež v Široki … | 1-0 |
| Feb 11 | Velež v Široki … | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | Velež v Borac B… | 0-0 |
| Jan 29 | Velež v Posušje | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 11, 2026 | Velež | 4-1 | FK Sarajevo |
| Feb 25, 2026 | FK Sarajevo | 0-1 | Velež |
| Dec 02, 2025 | Velež | 0-0 | FK Sarajevo |
| Sep 20, 2025 | FK Sarajevo | 2-0 | Velež |
| May 18, 2025 | Velež | 2-2 | FK Sarajevo |
| Mar 08, 2025 | Velež | 0-0 | FK Sarajevo |
| Oct 19, 2024 | FK Sarajevo | 4-0 | Velež |
| Apr 28, 2024 | FK Sarajevo | 3-0 | Velež |
| Dec 01, 2023 | Velež | 1-0 | FK Sarajevo |
| Aug 28, 2023 | FK Sarajevo | 1-0 | Velež |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
67%
Standings
62%
Market
50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Velež in strong form (4W in last 5)
FK Sarajevo struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.