Paulista - A4 · Mar 18, 2026 22:30
Penedense
PWR 53
PWR 53
1-0
predicted
Jabaquara
PWR 35
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Penedense to win (83% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
83%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (31%)1-0 (30%)2-0 (14%)0-1 (6%)1-1 (6%)3-0 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
86%
Home/Draw
1.23x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.61x
Over 2.5
11%
Under 2.5
89%
89%
BTTS
No
No 11%
Over 3.5
2%
Team Comparison
46Attack0
65Defense100
Goals/G
1.30.0
Conc/G
1.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Penedense
WDLLD
STABLE
Jabaquara
WLDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Paulista
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Penedensevs
0.20
JabaquaraGoal Probability
Penedense
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Jabaquara
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (34%)1-0 (26%)0-1 (10%)2-0 (10%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (3%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Penedense+8
Gap#13
Jabaquara
WR 47% 32 pts
WR 24% 18 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penedense | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 19 | 32 |
| Jabaquara | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 18 |
Penedense
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Peneden… v Naciona… | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Peneden… v Inter d… | 0-0 |
| Mar 04 | Peneden… v EC Leme… | 1-0 |
| Mar 02 | Peneden… v ASA | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Peneden… v Vocem | 0-0 |
| Feb 25 | Peneden… v Taquari… | 3-0 |
| Feb 25 | Peneden… v Londrina | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Peneden… v São Cae… | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Peneden… v Figueir… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Peneden… v ECUS | 2-1 |
Jabaquara
6.0%
| Mar 14 | Jabaqua… v Grêmio … | 3-1 |
| Mar 08 | Jabaqua… v ECUS | 1-0 |
| Mar 04 | Jabaqua… v Vocem | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Jabaqua… v Inter d… | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Jabaqua… v Barretos | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Jabaqua… v Tanabi | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Jabaqua… v Colorad… | 0-0 |
| Feb 11 | Jabaqua… v Joseense | 0-2 |
| Feb 07 | Jabaqua… v São Cae… | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Jabaqua… v Naciona… | 1-0 |
Decision Breakdown
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
50%
Market
58%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Jabaquara struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.