Paulista - A4 · Mar 18, 2026 23:00
Nacional AM
PWR 30
AEA
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Nacional AM
PWR 30
29%
28%
43%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (22%)0-0 (20%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.46x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.79x
Over 2.5
22%
Under 2.5
78%
78%
BTTS
No
No 27%
Over 3.5
15%
Team Comparison
0Attack20
100Defense51
Goals/G
0.00.6
Conc/G
0.01.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
AEA
DLLLL
STABLE
Nacional AM
LWWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Paulista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
AEAvs
0.53
Nacional AMGoal Probability
AEA
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Nacional AM
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (14%)1-1 (14%)0-0 (13%)1-0 (13%)0-2 (7%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 61% | 40% | - |
| 2.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
AEA+5
Gap#14
Nacional AM
WR 32% 24 pts
WR 17% 18 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEA | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 36 | 24 |
| Nacional AM | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 18 |
AEA
2.0%
| Mar 14 | AEA v Comerci… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | AEA v Barretos | 2-1 |
| Mar 04 | AEA v Inter d… | 4-0 |
| Feb 28 | AEA v São Cae… | 1-3 |
| Feb 25 | AEA v Joseense | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | AEA v Colorad… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | AEA v Taquari… | 2-0 |
| Feb 11 | AEA v EC Leme… | 0-2 |
| Feb 07 | AEA v Tanabi | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | AEA v Grêmio … | 4-1 |
Nacional AM
12.0%
| Mar 14 | Naciona… v Peneden… | 0-2 |
| Mar 14 | Naciona… v Corinth… | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | Naciona… v Guanaba… | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Naciona… v Comerci… | 2-0 |
| Mar 06 | Naciona… v Amazonas | 3-0 |
| Mar 04 | Naciona… v Taquari… | 0-4 |
| Mar 01 | Naciona… v Princes… | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Naciona… v Tanabi | 2-0 |
| Feb 25 | Naciona… v EC Leme… | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Naciona… v Novoriz… | 4-0 |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
50%
Market
41%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Nacional AM in strong form (3W in last 5)
AEA struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.