Paulista - A4 · Mar 21, 2026 18:00
Joseense
PWR 35
1-0
predicted

Comercial
PWR 35
53% 23% 24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Joseense to win (63% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
63%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (20%)0-0 (15%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
30%
Under 2.5 70%
70%
BTTS No
No 32%
Over 3.5
4%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Joseense DDWWW
STABLE
Comercial DWLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Paulista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Joseense
vs
0.56
Comercial
Goal Probability
Joseense
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Comercial
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (28%)1-0 (26%)2-0 (12%)0-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 72% 28% OVER
1.5 36% 64% -
2.5 13% 87% UNDER
3.5 4% 96% UNDER
4.5 1% 99% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#7
Joseense
+5
Gap
#12
Comercial
WR 50% 17 pts WR 25% 7 pts
Joseense 16.0%
Mar 14 Joseense v Barretos 1-1
Mar 07 Joseense v Tanabi 0-0
Mar 04 Joseense v Colorad… 2-0
Feb 28 Joseense v Taquari… 0-1
Feb 25 Joseense v AEA 2-0
Feb 21 Joseense v Naciona… 0-1
Feb 14 Joseense v SĆ£o Cae… 0-0
Feb 11 Joseense v Jabaqua… 0-2
Feb 08 Joseense v Inter d… 0-3
Jan 31 Joseense v Peneden… 2-0
Comercial 10.0%
Mar 14 Comerci… v AEA 0-0
Mar 07 Comerci… v Naciona… 2-0
Mar 04 Comerci… v SĆ£o Cae… 2-1
Feb 28 Comerci… v EC Leme… 0-1
Feb 25 Comerci… v Colorad… 1-2
Feb 21 Comerci… v Barretos 1-2
Feb 14 Comerci… v GrĆŖmio … 1-0
Feb 11 Comerci… v Taquari… 0-1
Feb 03 Comerci… v Peneden… 1-2
Jan 31 Comerci… v ECUS 1-1
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
77%
Standings
70%
Market
50%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Joseense in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.