Paulista - A4 · Mar 21, 2026 22:00
Grêmio Sãocarlense
PWR 35
PWR 35
0-1
predicted
Penedense
PWR 53
PWR 53
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Penedense to win (55% confidence)
Score
0-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (19%)2-0 (17%)3-0 (11%)0-0 (10%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
62%
BTTS
No
No 30%
Over 3.5
5%
Team Comparison
0Attack46
100Defense65
Goals/G
0.01.3
Conc/G
0.01.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Grêmio Sãocarl…
LWLDW
STABLE
Penedense
WDLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Paulista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Grêmio Sãocarl…vs
0.44
PenedenseGoal Probability
Grêmio Sãoc…
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4
8%
Penedense
0
64%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (25%)1-0 (22%)0-1 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 41% | 60% | - |
| 2.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Grêmio Sãoc…-2
Gap#5
Penedense
WR 32% 29 pts
WR 47% 32 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio Sãocar… | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 22 | 29 |
| Penedense | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 19 | 32 |
Grêmio Sãocarl…
10.0%
| Mar 14 | Grêmio … v Jabaqua… | 3-1 |
| Mar 07 | Grêmio … v Vocem | 1-0 |
| Mar 04 | Grêmio … v Barretos | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Grêmio … v Colorad… | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Grêmio … v Tanabi | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Grêmio … v Inter d… | 2-2 |
| Feb 14 | Grêmio … v Comerci… | 1-0 |
| Feb 10 | Grêmio … v ECUS | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Grêmio … v Naciona… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Grêmio … v AEA | 4-1 |
Penedense
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Peneden… v Naciona… | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Peneden… v Inter d… | 0-0 |
| Mar 04 | Peneden… v EC Leme… | 1-0 |
| Mar 02 | Peneden… v ASA | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Peneden… v Vocem | 0-0 |
| Feb 25 | Peneden… v Taquari… | 3-0 |
| Feb 25 | Peneden… v Londrina | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Peneden… v São Cae… | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Peneden… v Figueir… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Peneden… v ECUS | 2-1 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
85%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.