Primera DivisiĂłn · Mar 18, 2026 21:00
Estudiantes de Merida FC
PWR 35
Carabobo FC
PWR 35
Estudiantes de Merida FC
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Carabobo FC
PWR 35
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Carabobo FC Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (20%)0-1 (19%)1-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (9%)1-2 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.71x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.53x
Over 2.5
21%
Under 2.5
79%
79%
BTTS
No
No 29%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Estudiantes de…
DLWWL
STABLE
Carabobo FC
WDWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskAway draws 100% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 133% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (35.3%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Estudiantes de…vs
0.94
Carabobo FCGoal Probability
Estudiantes…
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Carabobo FC
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (16%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)1-0 (12%)0-2 (9%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 2.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Estudiantes…+1
Gap#9
Carabobo FC
WR 0% 8 pts
WR 0% 8 pts
Estudiantes de…
10.0%
| Mar 14 | Estudia… v UCV | 1-1 |
| Mar 06 | Estudia… v Real Es… | 0-1 |
| Feb 27 | Estudia… v Puerto … | 1-2 |
| Feb 23 | Estudia… v Academi… | 0-3 |
| Feb 13 | Estudia… v Rayo Zu… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Estudia… v Zamora | 3-2 |
| Feb 01 | Estudia… v Caracas… | 2-2 |
| Oct 05 | Estudia… v Yaracuy… | 0-2 |
| Sep 27 | Estudia… v Puerto … | 1-2 |
| Sep 20 | Estudia… v Portugu… | 2-0 |
Carabobo FC
16.0%
| Mar 15 | Carabob… v Rayo Zu… | 5-0 |
| Mar 07 | Carabob… v Zamora | 0-0 |
| Mar 04 | Carabob… v Sportin… | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Carabob… v Caracas… | 0-0 |
| Feb 24 | Carabob… v Huachip… | 1-2 |
| Feb 20 | Carabob… v Metropo… | 1-1 |
| Feb 17 | Carabob… v Huachip… | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | Carabob… v Monagas… | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Carabob… v Trujill… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Carabob… v Portugu… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Jul 05, 2025 | Carabobo FC | 2-1 | Estudiantes d… |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Estudiantes d… | 0-2 | Carabobo FC |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
52%
Market
36%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Carabobo FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.