Liga Pro · Mar 22, 2026 23:15
Mushuc Runa
PWR 35
Emelec
PWR 35
Mushuc Runa
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Emelec
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Mushuc Runa to win (60% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
60%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (22%)1-0 (20%)3-0 (16%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (4%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS
No
No 16%
Over 3.5
9%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Mushuc Runa
DLDDD
STABLE
Emelec
WLDLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 100% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesCombined DR 125% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Mushuc Runavs
0.20
EmelecGoal Probability
Mushuc Runa
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Emelec
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (19%)1-0 (18%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 2.5 | 24% | 77% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
Mushuc Runa+4
Gap#16
Emelec
WR 0% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
Mushuc Runa
8.0%
| Mar 15 | Mushuc … v Macará | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Mushuc … v Indepen… | 3-1 |
| Mar 01 | Mushuc … v Univers… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Mushuc … v Aucas | 1-1 |
| Nov 29 | Mushuc … v Cuniburo | 0-0 |
| Nov 22 | Mushuc … v Tecnico… | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Mushuc … v Manta | 3-0 |
| Nov 01 | Mushuc … v Tecnico… | 0-0 |
| Oct 25 | Mushuc … v Manta | 1-1 |
| Oct 18 | Mushuc … v Cuniburo | 2-1 |
Emelec
10.0%
| Mar 15 | Emelec v Orense … | 2-1 |
| Mar 07 | Emelec v Barcelo… | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Emelec v DelfĂn … | 1-1 |
| Dec 20 | Emelec v Deporti… | 5-1 |
| Dec 16 | Emelec v El Naci… | 5-0 |
| Dec 09 | Emelec v Macará | 0-2 |
| Nov 30 | Emelec v DelfĂn … | 0-1 |
| Nov 23 | Emelec v Aucas | 0-2 |
| Nov 09 | Emelec v El Naci… | 2-1 |
| Nov 02 | Emelec v Macará | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Jul 20, 2025 | Emelec | 1-0 | Mushuc Runa |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Mushuc Runa | 1-1 | Emelec |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
56%
Market
50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.