Liga Pro · Mar 21, 2026 21:30

Deportivo Cuenca
PWR 35

Macará
PWR 35

Deportivo Cuenca
PWR 35
1-0
predicted

Macará
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Deportivo Cuenca to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (36%)1-0 (23%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
8%
Under 2.5
92%
92%
BTTS
No
No 15%
Over 3.5
4%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Deportivo Cuen…
DWWWL
STABLE
Macará
DDWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk36%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Deportivo Cuen…vs
0.37
MacaráGoal Probability
Deportivo C…
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Macará
0
69%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (29%)1-0 (22%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 35% | 65% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Deportivo C…+2
Gap#5
Macará
WR 50% 7 pts
WR 50% 6 pts
Deportivo Cuen…
14.0%
| Mar 14 | Deporti… v Leones … | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Deporti… v Aucas | 0-1 |
| Mar 05 | Deporti… v Liberta… | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | Deporti… v Barcelo… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Deporti… v DelfĂn … | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Deporti… v Guayaqu… | 0-0 |
| Dec 20 | Deporti… v Emelec | 5-1 |
| Dec 13 | Deporti… v Macará | 0-1 |
| Dec 06 | Deporti… v DelfĂn … | 0-0 |
| Dec 03 | Deporti… v Univers… | 0-0 |
Macará
14.0%
| Mar 15 | Macará v Mushuc … | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Macará v Tecnico… | 1-1 |
| Mar 06 | Macará v Orense … | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Macará v LDU Qui… | 0-2 |
| Feb 22 | Macará v Leones … | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Macará v FBC Mel… | 2-1 |
| Dec 20 | Macará v Aucas | 0-2 |
| Dec 13 | Macará v Deporti… | 0-1 |
| Dec 09 | Macará v Emelec | 0-2 |
| Nov 30 | Macará v El Naci… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 13, 2025 | Macará | 0-1 | Deportivo Cue… |
| Nov 08, 2025 | Deportivo Cue… | 0-2 | Macará |
| Aug 02, 2025 | Deportivo Cue… | 1-1 | Macará |
| Apr 10, 2025 | Macará | 0-1 | Deportivo Cue… |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Macará | 3-1 | Deportivo Cue… |
| Mar 20, 2024 | Deportivo Cue… | 1-1 | Macará |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Deportivo Cue… | 1-1 | Macará |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Macará | 0-1 | Deportivo Cue… |
| Oct 26, 2021 | Deportivo Cue… | 1-1 | Macará |
| May 08, 2021 | Macará | 1-0 | Deportivo Cue… |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
53%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Deportivo Cuenca in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.