Liga Pro · Mar 21, 2026 21:30

Deportivo Cuenca
PWR 35
1-0
predicted

Macará
PWR 35
47% 25% 28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Deportivo Cuenca to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (36%)1-0 (23%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
8%
Under 2.5 92%
92%
BTTS No
No 15%
Over 3.5
4%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Deportivo Cuen… DWWWL
STABLE
Macará DDWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk36%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Deportivo Cuen…
vs
0.37
Macará
Goal Probability
Deportivo C…
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Macará
0
69%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (29%)1-0 (22%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 71% 29% OVER
1.5 35% 65% UNDER
2.5 13% 87% UNDER
3.5 4% 96% UNDER
4.5 1% 99% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#3
Deportivo C…
+2
Gap
#5
Macará
WR 50% 7 pts WR 50% 6 pts
Deportivo Cuen… 14.0%
Mar 14 Deporti… v Leones … 1-1
Mar 08 Deporti… v Aucas 0-1
Mar 05 Deporti… v Liberta… 3-0
Mar 01 Deporti… v Barcelo… 2-1
Feb 22 Deporti… v Delfín … 1-0
Feb 08 Deporti… v Guayaqu… 0-0
Dec 20 Deporti… v Emelec 5-1
Dec 13 Deporti… v Macará 0-1
Dec 06 Deporti… v Delfín … 0-0
Dec 03 Deporti… v Univers… 0-0
Macará 14.0%
Mar 15 Macará v Mushuc … 0-0
Mar 08 Macará v Tecnico… 1-1
Mar 06 Macará v Orense … 0-1
Mar 01 Macará v LDU Qui… 0-2
Feb 22 Macará v Leones … 0-0
Jan 25 Macará v FBC Mel… 2-1
Dec 20 Macará v Aucas 0-2
Dec 13 Macará v Deporti… 0-1
Dec 09 Macará v Emelec 0-2
Nov 30 Macará v El Naci… 2-0
Head-to-Head (10)
Dec 13, 2025 Macará 0-1 Deportivo Cue…
Nov 08, 2025 Deportivo Cue… 0-2 Macará
Aug 02, 2025 Deportivo Cue… 1-1 Macará
Apr 10, 2025 Macará 0-1 Deportivo Cue…
Aug 24, 2024 Macará 3-1 Deportivo Cue…
Mar 20, 2024 Deportivo Cue… 1-1 Macará
Aug 27, 2022 Deportivo Cue… 1-1 Macará
Apr 17, 2022 Macará 0-1 Deportivo Cue…
Oct 26, 2021 Deportivo Cue… 1-1 Macará
May 08, 2021 Macará 1-0 Deportivo Cue…
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
53%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Deportivo Cuenca in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.