Liga Premier Serie A · Mar 21, 2026 21:30
Chapulineros
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Montañeses
PWR 35
PWR 35
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (53% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
53%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (20%)0-1 (18%)1-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
22%
Under 2.5
78%
78%
BTTS
No
No 30%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Chapulineros
LLLDL
DOWN
Montañeses
LLDWW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskCombined DR 60% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
Chapulinerosvs
0.90
MontañesesGoal Probability
Chapulineros
0
49%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Montañeses
0
41%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (15%)0-1 (15%)1-0 (14%)1-1 (14%)0-2 (7%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 2.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 88% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Chapulineros-2
Gap#8
Montañeses
WR 30% 21 pts
WR 40% 31 pts
Chapulineros
2.0%
| Mar 14 | Chapuli… v Inter P… | 2-1 |
| Mar 07 | Chapuli… v Héroes … | 1-2 |
| Mar 03 | Chapuli… v Celaya | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | Chapuli… v Racing … | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Chapuli… v Tapachu… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Chapuli… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Chapuli… v Neza | 3-2 |
| Jan 17 | Chapuli… v Mexical… | 0-0 |
| Jan 10 | Chapuli… v Cañoner… | 1-2 |
| Nov 22 | Chapuli… v Pionero… | 0-2 |
Montañeses
10.0%
| Mar 15 | Montañe… v Racing … | 1-3 |
| Mar 10 | Montañe… v Tapachu… | 3-1 |
| Mar 01 | Montañe… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Montañe… v Neza | 0-5 |
| Feb 15 | Montañe… v Mexical… | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Montañe… v Cañoner… | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Montañe… v Pionero… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Montañe… v Jaguare… | 3-3 |
| Jan 11 | Montañe… v Inter P… | 0-1 |
| Nov 22 | Montañe… v Héroes … | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 09, 2025 | Montañeses | 2-1 | Chapulineros |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Chapulineros struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.