Major League Soccer · Mar 21, 2026 20:30
Philadelphia Union
PWR 35
Chicago Fire
PWR 35
Philadelphia Union
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Chicago Fire
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Philadelphia Union Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (21%)2-0 (16%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
32%
Under 2.5
68%
68%
BTTS
No
No 29%
Over 3.5
27%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Philadelphia U…
LLLLW
DOWN
Chicago Fire
WLLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Philadelphia U…vs
0.47
Chicago FireGoal Probability
Philadelphi…
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Chicago Fire
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (7%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 3.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Philadelphi…-8
Gap#7
Chicago Fire
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 0% 4 pts
Philadelphia U…
4.0%
| Mar 14 | Philade… v Atlanta… | 3-1 |
| Mar 10 | Philade… v Club Am… | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Philade… v San Jos… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Philade… v New Yor… | 1-2 |
| Feb 27 | Philade… v Defence… | 7-0 |
| Feb 22 | Philade… v DC Unit… | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | Philade… v Defence… | 0-5 |
| Jan 29 | Philade… v Buducno… | 0-0 |
| Jan 20 | Philade… v Sigma O… | 0-1 |
| Nov 24 | Philade… v New Yor… | 0-1 |
Chicago Fire
8.0%
| Mar 15 | Chicago… v Chattan… | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Chicago… v DC Unit… | 1-2 |
| Mar 08 | Chicago… v Orlando… | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | Chicago… v Columbu… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Chicago… v Fort La… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Chicago… v Montréa… | 3-0 |
| Feb 22 | Chicago… v Houston… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Chicago… v Los Ang… | 2-3 |
| Jan 24 | Chicago… v Sportin… | 0-1 |
| Nov 01 | Chicago… v Philade… | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Nov 01, 2025 | Chicago Fire | 0-3 | Philadelphia … |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Philadelphia … | 2-2 | Chicago Fire |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Philadelphia … | 4-0 | Chicago Fire |
| Jun 26, 2025 | Chicago Fire | 0-1 | Philadelphia … |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
34%
Market
50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Philadelphia Union struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.