Major League Soccer · Mar 22, 2026 02:30

Vancouver Whitecaps
PWR 35

San Jose Earthquakes
PWR 35

Vancouver Whitecaps
PWR 35
1-0
predicted

San Jose Earthquakes
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Vancouver Whitecaps to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (19%)1-0 (16%)3-0 (15%)0-0 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS
No
No 25%
Over 3.5
34%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Vancouver Whit…
WLWWW
STABLE
San Jose Earth…
LWWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41
Vancouver Whit…vs
0.32
San Jose Earth…Goal Probability
Vancouver W…
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
San Jose Ea…
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (11%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 3.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Vancouver W…+3
Gap#4
San Jose Ea…
WR 100% 12 pts
WR 100% 9 pts
Vancouver Whit…
16.0%
| Mar 15 | Vancouv… v Minneso… | 6-0 |
| Mar 13 | Vancouv… v Seattle… | 0-3 |
| Mar 08 | Vancouv… v Portlan… | 1-4 |
| Mar 01 | Vancouv… v Toronto… | 3-0 |
| Feb 26 | Vancouv… v CS Cart… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Vancouv… v Real Sa… | 1-0 |
| Feb 19 | Vancouv… v CS Cart… | 0-0 |
| Feb 08 | Vancouv… v IF Brom… | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Vancouv… v Sparta … | 0-2 |
| Jan 27 | Vancouv… v Polessya | 2-0 |
San Jose Earth…
12.0%
| Mar 15 | San Jos… v Seattle… | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | San Jos… v Philade… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | San Jos… v Atlanta… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | San Jos… v Sportin… | 3-0 |
| Feb 18 | San Jos… v Always … | 3-0 |
| Feb 12 | San Jos… v Always … | 2-4 |
| Feb 11 | San Jos… v Portlan… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | San Jos… v Charlot… | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | San Jos… v Real Or… | 3-2 |
| Feb 01 | San Jos… v Real Or… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 05, 2025 | Vancouver Whi… | 4-1 | San Jose Eart… |
| Aug 10, 2025 | San Jose Eart… | 2-1 | Vancouver Whi… |
Decision Breakdown
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
55%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Vancouver Whitecaps in strong form (4W in last 5)
San Jose Earthquakes in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.