Serie A · Mar 18, 2026 22:00
Palmeiras
PWR 35
Botafogo
PWR 35
Palmeiras
PWR 35
5-1
predicted
Botafogo
PWR 35
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Palmeiras Win
Score
5-1
Confidence
77%
TierPREMIUM
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (15%)1-0 (13%)3-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
84%
Home/Draw
1.25x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.71x
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
BTTS
No 41%
Over 3.5
23%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Palmeiras
WLWLW
STABLE
Botafogo
LLLDD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy77%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Full data available (Tier 1)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (24.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
Palmeirasvs
0.61
BotafogoGoal Probability
Palmeiras
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Botafogo
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (16%)2-0 (15%)3-0 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Palmeiras+15
Gap#17
Botafogo
WR 100% 13 pts
WR 0% 3 pts
Palmeiras
12.0%
| Mar 15 | Palmeir… v Mirassol | 1-0 |
| Mar 12 | Palmeir… v Vasco D… | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | Palmeir… v Novoriz… | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Palmeir… v Bela Vi… | 2-5 |
| Mar 04 | Palmeir… v Novoriz… | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Palmeir… v São Pau… | 2-1 |
| Feb 26 | Palmeir… v Flumine… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Palmeir… v Capivar… | 4-0 |
| Feb 21 | Palmeir… v Capital | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Palmeir… v GuaranĂ… | 1-1 |
Botafogo
4.0%
| Mar 14 | Botafogo v Flamengo | 0-3 |
| Mar 11 | Botafogo v Barcelo… | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Botafogo v Bangu | 3-1 |
| Mar 04 | Botafogo v Barcelo… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Botafogo v Boavista | 0-0 |
| Feb 26 | Botafogo v Naciona… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Botafogo v Boavista | 0-2 |
| Feb 19 | Botafogo v Naciona… | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Botafogo v Capivar… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Botafogo v Flamengo | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 01, 2026 | Botafogo | 1-0 | Palmeiras |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Botafogo | 0-1 | Palmeiras |
| Jul 15, 2025 | Palmeiras | 5-0 | Botafogo |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Palmeiras | 1-0 | Botafogo |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Palmeiras | 0-0 | Botafogo |
| Feb 20, 2025 | Palmeiras | 3-1 | Botafogo |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Palmeiras | 1-3 | Botafogo |
| Aug 22, 2024 | Palmeiras | 2-2 | Botafogo |
| Aug 15, 2024 | Botafogo | 2-1 | Palmeiras |
| Jul 18, 2024 | Botafogo | 1-0 | Palmeiras |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
93%
Market
64%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Palmeiras in strong form (3W in last 5)
Botafogo struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.