Serie A · Mar 18, 2026 22:30
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 35
Cruzeiro
PWR 35
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Cruzeiro
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Athletico Paranaense Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (18%)2-0 (13%)0-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)2-1 (8%)0-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.56x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.7x
Over 2.5
34%
Under 2.5
66%
66%
BTTS
No 36%
Over 3.5
25%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Athletico Para…
LWWDW
STABLE
Cruzeiro
DLWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (28.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Athletico Para…vs
0.65
CruzeiroGoal Probability
Athletico P…
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Cruzeiro
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)0-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 72% | 29% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 3.5 | 25% | 76% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Athletico P…+9
Gap#19
Cruzeiro
WR 50% 7 pts
WR 0% 3 pts
Athletico Para…
14.0%
| Mar 15 | Athleti… v Flumine… | 3-2 |
| Mar 07 | Athleti… v Santos | 2-1 |
| Mar 02 | Athleti… v Santos | 0-2 |
| Feb 25 | Athleti… v RB Brag… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Athleti… v Flumine… | 1-3 |
| Feb 22 | Athleti… v Londrina | 0-1 |
| Feb 19 | Athleti… v Corinth… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Athleti… v Londrina | 2-2 |
| Feb 12 | Athleti… v Santos | 2-1 |
| Feb 11 | Athleti… v Teresin… | 1-0 |
Cruzeiro
12.0%
| Mar 15 | Cruzeiro v Vasco D… | 3-3 |
| Mar 12 | Cruzeiro v Flamengo | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | Cruzeiro v Atletic… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Cruzeiro v Pouso A… | 1-0 |
| Feb 25 | Cruzeiro v Corinth… | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Cruzeiro v Platense | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Cruzeiro v Pouso A… | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Cruzeiro v Uniao T… | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Cruzeiro v Mirassol | 2-2 |
| Feb 11 | Cruzeiro v Municip… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 30, 2023 | Cruzeiro | 1-1 | Athletico Par… |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
72%
Standings
78%
Market
43%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Athletico Paranaense in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.