Serie A · Mar 18, 2026 23:00
Atletico-MG
PWR 35
São Paulo FC
PWR 35
Atletico-MG
PWR 35
2-2
predicted
São Paulo FC
PWR 35
29%
28%
43%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
São Paulo FC Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
65%
TierPREMIUM
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (12%)2-1 (9%)2-0 (9%)0-1 (9%)0-0 (9%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.46x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.8x
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS
No 49%
Over 3.5
23%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Atletico-MG
LWLDL
STABLE
São Paulo FC
WWLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy77%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_FORM_DOMINANTAWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 67% at home = very high riskH2H: 3/6 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskCombined DR 100% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (31.1%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Atletico-MGvs
1.01
São Paulo FCGoal Probability
Atletico-MG
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
São Paulo FC
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (13%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (10%)1-2 (9%)0-0 (9%)1-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#16
Atletico-MG-15
Gap#1
São Paulo FC
WR 33% 5 pts
WR 67% 16 pts
Atletico-MG
6.0%
| Mar 14 | Atletic… v Vitoria | 2-0 |
| Mar 11 | Atletic… v Interna… | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | Atletic… v Cruzeiro | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Atletic… v América… | 0-0 |
| Feb 26 | Atletic… v Gremio | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Atletic… v América… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Atletic… v Itabiri… | 2-7 |
| Feb 11 | Atletic… v Remo | 3-3 |
| Feb 07 | Atletic… v Athleti… | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | Atletic… v RB Brag… | 1-0 |
São Paulo FC
16.0%
| Mar 15 | São Pau… v RB Brag… | 1-2 |
| Mar 12 | São Pau… v Chapeco… | 2-0 |
| Mar 01 | São Pau… v Palmeir… | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | São Pau… v Coritiba | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | São Pau… v RB Brag… | 1-2 |
| Feb 15 | São Pau… v Ponte P… | 1-2 |
| Feb 12 | São Pau… v Gremio | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | São Pau… v Primave… | 2-1 |
| Feb 04 | São Pau… v Santos | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | São Pau… v Santos | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Aug 24, 2025 | São Paulo FC | 2-0 | Atletico-MG |
| Apr 06, 2025 | Atletico-MG | 0-0 | São Paulo FC |
| Nov 24, 2024 | São Paulo FC | 2-2 | Atletico-MG |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Atletico-MG | 0-0 | São Paulo FC |
| Aug 29, 2024 | São Paulo FC | 0-1 | Atletico-MG |
| Dec 03, 2023 | Atletico-MG | 2-1 | São Paulo FC |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
65%
Standings
30%
Market
47%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
São Paulo FC in strong form (4W in last 5)
Atletico-MG struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.