Serie A · Mar 19, 2026 22:00
Gremio
PWR 0
Vitoria
PWR 35
Gremio
PWR 0
0-1
predicted
Vitoria
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Vitoria to win (49% confidence)
Score
0-1
Confidence
49%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (7%)3-0 (7%)2-1 (6%)2-0 (6%)3-2 (4%)2-2 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
68%
68%
Under 2.5
32%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 64%
Over 3.5
40%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
0Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Gremio
DWLWL
STABLE
Vitoria
WDLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Limited data available (Tier 3)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 6%, PPG diff 0.1 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.83
Gremiovs
1.05
VitoriaGoal Probability
Gremio
0
2%
1
8%
2
16%
3
20%
4
20%
Vitoria
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)1-0 (7%)2-2 (7%)0-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 3.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 4.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 11% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Gremio+2
Gap#11
Vitoria
WR 67% 7 pts
WR 0% 7 pts
Gremio
10.0%
| Mar 13 | Gremio v RB Brag… | 1-1 |
| Feb 26 | Gremio v Atletic… | 2-1 |
| Feb 12 | Gremio v São Pau… | 2-0 |
| Feb 05 | Gremio v Botafogo | 5-3 |
| Jan 28 | Gremio v Flumine… | 2-1 |
| Jul 26 | Gremio v Chapeco… | 0-0 |
| Apr 15 | Gremio v Chapeco… | 0-1 |
| Nov 20 | Gremio v Chapeco… | 1-3 |
| Aug 09 | Gremio v Chapeco… | 2-1 |
Vitoria
14.0%
| Mar 14 | Vitoria v Atletic… | 2-0 |
| Mar 11 | Vitoria v Bahia | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Vitoria v Bahia | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Vitoria v GalĂcia | 3-0 |
| Feb 18 | Vitoria v Bahia d… | 1-0 |
| Feb 11 | Vitoria v Flamengo | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Vitoria v Jequié | 2-2 |
| Feb 05 | Vitoria v Palmeir… | 5-1 |
| Feb 01 | Vitoria v Barcelo… | 0-2 |
| Jan 28 | Vitoria v Remo | 2-0 |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
73%
Market
50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Vitoria in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.