Serie A · Mar 21, 2026 21:30
Fluminense
PWR 35
Atletico-MG
PWR 35
Fluminense
PWR 35
4-0
predicted
Atletico-MG
PWR 35
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Fluminense Win
Score
4-0
Confidence
50%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (17%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
32%
Under 2.5
68%
68%
BTTS
No 37%
Over 3.5
21%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Fluminense
WLWDD
STABLE
Atletico-MG
LWLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk22%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team drew 2/5 recent gamesElevated draw risk (21.8%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got STANDARD/2 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Fluminensevs
0.72
Atletico-MGGoal Probability
Fluminense
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Atletico-MG
0
49%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (11%)0-1 (11%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 69% | 32% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 3.5 | 22% | 79% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Fluminense+13
Gap#16
Atletico-MG
WR 100% 13 pts
WR 0% 5 pts
Fluminense
12.0%
| Mar 15 | Flumine… v Athleti… | 3-2 |
| Mar 14 | Flumine… v Piauà | 3-1 |
| Mar 12 | Flumine… v Remo | 0-2 |
| Mar 08 | Flumine… v Flamengo | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Flumine… v Ferrovi… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Flumine… v Vasco D… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Flumine… v Santo A… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Flumine… v Piauà | 0-1 |
| Feb 26 | Flumine… v Palmeir… | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | Flumine… v São Ber… | 1-0 |
Atletico-MG
6.0%
| Mar 14 | Atletic… v Vitoria | 2-0 |
| Mar 11 | Atletic… v Interna… | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | Atletic… v Cruzeiro | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Atletic… v América… | 0-0 |
| Feb 26 | Atletic… v Gremio | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Atletic… v América… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Atletic… v Itabiri… | 2-7 |
| Feb 11 | Atletic… v Remo | 3-3 |
| Feb 07 | Atletic… v Athleti… | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | Atletic… v RB Brag… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 04, 2025 | Fluminense | 3-0 | Atletico-MG |
| May 11, 2025 | Atletico-MG | 3-2 | Fluminense |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
90%
Market
50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Atletico-MG struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.