Back Stats
Serie A · Mar 22, 2026 00:00

São Paulo FC
PWR 35
3-2
predicted

Palmeiras
PWR 35
51% 24% 25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
São Paulo FC Win
Score
3-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (21%)3-0 (18%)1-0 (16%)0-0 (6%)2-1 (4%)3-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS No
No 17%
Over 3.5
29%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
São Paulo FC WWLWW
STABLE
Palmeiras WLWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.56
São Paulo FC
vs
0.20
Palmeiras
Goal Probability
São Paulo FC
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Palmeiras
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (7%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 93% 7% OVER
1.5 75% 25% OVER
2.5 51% 49% -
3.5 29% 71% UNDER
4.5 14% 86% UNDER
5.5 6% 94% UNDER
6.5 2% 98% UNDER
League Position
#1
São Paulo FC
+1
Gap
#2
Palmeiras
WR 100% 16 pts WR 33% 13 pts
São Paulo FC 16.0%
Mar 15 São Pau… v RB Brag… 1-2
Mar 12 São Pau… v Chapeco… 2-0
Mar 01 São Pau… v Palmeir… 2-1
Feb 25 São Pau… v Coritiba 0-1
Feb 21 São Pau… v RB Brag… 1-2
Feb 15 São Pau… v Ponte P… 1-2
Feb 12 São Pau… v Gremio 2-0
Feb 07 São Pau… v Primave… 2-1
Feb 04 São Pau… v Santos 1-1
Jan 31 São Pau… v Santos 2-0
Palmeiras 12.0%
Mar 15 Palmeir… v Mirassol 1-0
Mar 12 Palmeir… v Vasco D… 2-1
Mar 08 Palmeir… v Novoriz… 1-2
Mar 07 Palmeir… v Bela Vi… 2-5
Mar 04 Palmeir… v Novoriz… 1-0
Mar 01 Palmeir… v São Pau… 2-1
Feb 26 Palmeir… v Flumine… 2-1
Feb 21 Palmeir… v Capivar… 4-0
Feb 21 Palmeir… v Capital 1-1
Feb 15 Palmeir… v Guaraní… 1-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Mar 01, 2026 Palmeiras 2-1 São Paulo FC
Jan 24, 2026 Palmeiras 3-1 São Paulo FC
Oct 05, 2025 São Paulo FC 2-3 Palmeiras
Jun 10, 2025 Palmeiras 2-1 São Paulo FC
May 11, 2025 Palmeiras 1-0 São Paulo FC
Mar 11, 2025 Palmeiras 1-0 São Paulo FC
Feb 16, 2025 Palmeiras 0-0 São Paulo FC
Aug 18, 2024 Palmeiras 2-1 São Paulo FC
Jun 17, 2024 São Paulo FC 1-5 Palmeiras
Apr 29, 2024 São Paulo FC 0-0 Palmeiras
Decision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
72%
Market
50%
Key Factors
São Paulo FC in strong form (4W in last 5)
Palmeiras in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.