Serie A · Mar 22, 2026 19:00
Vasco DA Gama
PWR 35
Gremio
PWR 0
Vasco DA Gama
PWR 35
VS
Gremio
PWR 0
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Gremio Win
Score
?
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (18%)1-0 (17%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
24%
Under 2.5
76%
76%
BTTS
No
No 33%
Over 3.5
52%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense0
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Vasco DA Gama
DWDDL
STABLE
Gremio
DWLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
Limited data available (Tier 3)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (30.2%) - VETO 1X2 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+) | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Vasco DA Gamavs
0.75
GremioGoal Probability
Vasco DA Ga…
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Gremio
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (9%)1-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-3 (6%)0-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 73% | 28% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 4.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Vasco DA Ga…-6
Gap#9
Gremio
WR 33% 5 pts
WR 0% 7 pts
Vasco DA Gama
10.0%
| Mar 15 | Vasco D… v Cruzeiro | 3-3 |
| Mar 12 | Vasco D… v Palmeir… | 2-1 |
| Mar 05 | Vasco D… v São Fra… | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Vasco D… v Flumine… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Vasco D… v Galvez | 5-2 |
| Feb 26 | Vasco D… v Santos | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Vasco D… v Flumine… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Vasco D… v Volta R… | 1-1 |
| Feb 12 | Vasco D… v Bahia | 0-1 |
| Feb 10 | Vasco D… v Indepen… | 1-3 |
Gremio
10.0%
| Mar 13 | Gremio v RB Brag… | 1-1 |
| Feb 26 | Gremio v Atletic… | 2-1 |
| Feb 12 | Gremio v São Pau… | 2-0 |
| Feb 05 | Gremio v Botafogo | 5-3 |
| Jan 28 | Gremio v Flumine… | 2-1 |
| Jul 26 | Gremio v Chapeco… | 0-0 |
| Apr 15 | Gremio v Chapeco… | 0-1 |
| Nov 20 | Gremio v Chapeco… | 1-3 |
| Aug 09 | Gremio v Chapeco… | 2-1 |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
38%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.